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		<title>Office CMBS Delinquency Hits 12.0% in 2026: What It Means for NWI</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/office-cmbs-delinquency-hits-12-2026-nwi/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2026 02:21:44 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Office CMBS Delinquency Hits 12.0% — Q1 2026 Record Above the Financial Crisis Peak What the worst office debt reading in history means for Northwest Indiana homeowners, banks, and the local commercial tax base. By Josh Pavich — Licensed Real Estate Agent, Weichert Realtors — Shoreline Office CMBS delinquency rate, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div class="jp-hero">
  <h1>Office CMBS Delinquency Hits 12.0% — Q1 2026 Record Above the Financial Crisis Peak</h1>
  <p>What the worst office debt reading in history means for Northwest Indiana homeowners, banks, and the local commercial tax base.</p>
  <p class="byline">By Josh Pavich — Licensed Real Estate Agent, Weichert Realtors — Shoreline</p>
</div>


<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" width="567" height="446" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/office-cmbs-delinquency-original.jpg?resize=567%2C446&#038;ssl=1" alt="Office CMBS delinquency rate Q1 2000 through Q1 2026, hitting a record 12.0% above the 10.5% Financial Crisis peak. Source: Trepp via Wolf Street." class="wp-image-4746" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/office-cmbs-delinquency-original.jpg?w=567&amp;ssl=1 567w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/office-cmbs-delinquency-original.jpg?resize=300%2C236&amp;ssl=1 300w" sizes="(max-width: 567px) 100vw, 567px" /></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Office CMBS delinquency rate, Q1 2000 to Q1 2026. Source: <a href="https://www.trepp.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trepp</a> via <a href="https://www.wolfstreet.com/2026/04/19/office-cmbs-delinquency-rate-q1-2026/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wolf Street</a>.</em></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The <strong>office cmbs delinquency</strong> rate just hit a record 12.0% in Q1 2026 — above the 10.5% post-Financial-Crisis peak and nearly double the 2017 oil-bust high of 7.7%. What was supposed to be a temporary pandemic correction has become a structural reset, and it&#8217;s reshaping how commercial real estate is priced in markets most people never think about — including Northwest Indiana.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For homeowners in Porter, Lake, and LaPorte counties, the question isn&#8217;t whether this matters. It&#8217;s how a national office debt crisis ripples through the local economy, the local banks, the local landlords, and ultimately the value of the house you live in. Per <a href="https://www.wolfstreet.com/2026/04/19/office-cmbs-delinquency-rate-q1-2026/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wolf Street&#8217;s Trepp-tracked data</a>, the spike isn&#8217;t slowing — it&#8217;s accelerating.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4ca.png" alt="📊" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Office CMBS Delinquency: The Worst Reading on Record</h2>



<div class="jp-stats-grid">
  <div class="jp-stat-card"><span class="label">Q1 2026 Office CMBS Delinquency</span><span class="val">12.0%</span><span class="chg down">+0.6 pts QoQ</span></div>
  <div class="jp-stat-card"><span class="label">Post-Financial-Crisis Peak</span><span class="val">10.5%</span><span class="chg">Late 2013</span></div>
  <div class="jp-stat-card"><span class="label">Oil-Bust Peak</span><span class="val">7.7%</span><span class="chg">Mid-2017</span></div>
  <div class="jp-stat-card"><span class="label">2019 Pre-Pandemic Trough</span><span class="val">1.5%</span><span class="chg up">Bottom</span></div>
</div>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The headline number: the office CMBS delinquency rate in Q1 2026 is <strong>1.5 percentage points above the worst reading of the post-2008 era</strong>. The crisis isn&#8217;t in the rearview mirror. It just printed a new high. And unlike 2008-2013, when a recovering economy and refinancing windows eventually worked through the distress, this cycle has no obvious off-ramp. Office demand is structurally down because hybrid work is structurally up.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3e2.png" alt="🏢" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What&#8217;s Actually Happening With Office Debt</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">CMBS stands for Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities — bundles of commercial real estate loans sold to investors, similar in structure to the mortgage-backed securities that imploded in 2008. When a borrower stops paying, the loan goes into delinquency, the special servicer takes over, and the building either gets worked out, foreclosed on, or handed back to the lender. The 12.0% figure means roughly 1 in 8 office loans in CMBS trusts is now in some stage of distress.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The composition matters too. <strong>Class B and Class C office</strong> — the older, smaller buildings — make up a disproportionate share of the new delinquencies. These are the buildings in secondary markets, owner-occupied professional suites, and downtown cores outside the top-25 metros. They&#8217;re also the buildings that office-to-residential conversion programs are now targeting. That&#8217;s where Northwest Indiana enters the story.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3d8.png" alt="🏘" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Why This Matters in Northwest Indiana</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">NWI doesn&#8217;t have a downtown Chicago office skyline. But it has something adjacent that&#8217;s been quietly feeling the same pressure: <strong>small-format office, mixed-use, and professional buildings in downtown Hammond, Gary, Michigan City, Valparaiso, and Crown Point</strong>. These properties share the same fundamental problem as big-city office — a structurally smaller pool of tenants in a hybrid-work world — and many of them are held by local landlords with local bank loans.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">For most NWI homeowners, the transmission channels are three:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>Local bank balance sheets.</strong> Regional and community banks in Porter, Lake, and LaPorte counties hold CRE loans on their books. When a downtown Valparaiso office building goes into distress, it tightens the lending pool for the next commercial project — and for the next commercial borrower. That ripples into who can finance a small-business expansion, a new restaurant buildout, or a multi-family acquisition.</li>



<li><strong>Office-to-resi conversions.</strong> The big news in 2025-2026 has been the conversion wave — empty Class B/C office buildings being turned into apartments. Several NWI downtowns are now in early conversations about this. The math is hard (conversion costs $200-400/sq ft), but the alternative is a vacant building paying zero property tax.</li>



<li><strong>Commercial property tax appeals.</strong> When a downtown office building sees its appraised value cut in half by a successful tax appeal, every other commercial parcel in the same township gets compared against it. That pressures the commercial tax base — and in Indiana, where commercial properties subsidize residential rates, a weak commercial tax base means residential owners eventually pick up a larger share.</li>
</ul>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4c8.png" alt="📈" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> The 3 Channels That Hit NWI Homeowners</h2>



<div class="jp-table-wrap"><table class="jp-table">
  <thead><tr><th>Channel</th><th>How It Works</th><th>When You&#8217;d Notice</th></tr></thead>
  <tbody>
  <tr><td><strong>Bank lending</strong></td><td>Local banks mark down CRE loans → tighten standards on new commercial + residential mortgages</td><td>Higher down-payment requirements, slower closings</td></tr>
  <tr><td><strong>Conversions</strong></td><td>Office buildings convert to apartments → housing supply in urban cores jumps</td><td>Downtown rentals absorb at lower rents</td></tr>
  <tr><td><strong>Tax base</strong></td><td>Commercial appraisals fall → commercial share of property tax drops → residential share rises</td><td>Annual tax bill shifts in 12-24 months</td></tr>
  </tbody>
</table></div>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">None of this is catastrophic for NWI residential real estate today. But the office CMBS delinquency story is the macro context that explains why local lenders are more cautious, why some downtown projects are stalling, and why the residential market isn&#8217;t decoupling from what&#8217;s happening 30 miles east in the Chicago suburbs.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f511.png" alt="🔑" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What NWI Buyers &amp; Sellers Should Watch</h2>



<div class="jp-tip-box">
<h4><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f511.png" alt="🔑" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Buyer Take</h4>
<p>If you&#8217;re shopping for a home in the next 6-12 months, watch the local commercial tax appeals. A cluster of successful appeals in your township could nudge your next property tax bill up — and that affects monthly affordability more than most buyers realize. Ask your title company or county assessor about pending commercial appeals before you close.</p>
</div>



<div class="jp-tip-box seller">
<h4><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3f7.png" alt="🏷" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Seller Take</h4>
<p>If you&#8217;re selling a property near a downtown core that&#8217;s losing commercial tenants, expect appraisers to weigh the commercial distress more heavily than they did in 2021-2023. Buyers are increasingly price-aware. The best protection is timing your listing before the spring commercial tax appeals hit the local comps.</p>
</div>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The bigger picture: the office CMBS delinquency rate printing 12.0% in Q1 2026 isn&#8217;t a headline that fades next quarter. <strong>Trepp&#8217;s data shows no inflection point yet</strong>, and the structural drivers — hybrid work, AI reducing white-collar headcount, refinancing walls in 2027-2028 — are still in front of us, not behind.</p>



<div class="jp-disclaimer">
<p><strong>Source &amp; methodology:</strong> Office CMBS delinquency data is from <a href="https://www.trepp.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trepp&#8217;s CMBS database</a>, the industry-standard source for commercial mortgage performance, as reported by <a href="https://www.wolfstreet.com/2026/04/19/office-cmbs-delinquency-rate-q1-2026/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wolf Street</a> (Q1 2026 release). The delinquency rate counts loans 30+ days delinquent or in special servicing across all U.S. CMBS trusts backed by office properties. Local Northwest Indiana commentary reflects Josh Pavich&#8217;s analysis as a licensed real estate agent with Weichert Realtors — Shoreline and is not investment or tax advice. Consult a CPA or attorney for tax-specific decisions.</p>
</div>



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<p style="margin:0 0 16px 0;font-weight:600;font-size:1.05rem; letter-spacing: 0.2px;">Curious how this plays out in your block of NWI?</p>
<table class="jp-cta-buttons-table" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" role="presentation"><tr><td><a class="jp-btn-gold" href="https://joshpavich.com/free-home-valuation-northwest-indiana/">Get Your Free Home Valuation →</a></td><td><a class="jp-btn-gold" href="https://joshpavich.com/commercial-real-estate-northwest-indiana/">Commercial Real Estate in NWI</a></td></tr></table>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4da.png" alt="📚" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Related Reading on joshpavich.com</h2>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/price-cuts-by-state-2026-nwi-indiana/">Price Cuts by State 2026: Where NWI Sits in the National Map</a></li>



<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/months-of-supply-2026-nwi/">Months of Supply: 21.3 Hits 18% Above 2008 Peak — What It Means for NWI</a></li>



<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/lennar-home-prices-below-pre-pandemic-2026/">Lennar Home Prices Drop 25% Off Peak, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels</a></li>



<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/existing-home-sales-2026-nw-indiana/">Existing Home Sales Just Had Their Worst Month in Years</a></li>



<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/commercial-real-estate-northwest-indiana/">Commercial Real Estate in Northwest Indiana</a></li>
</ul>



<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide"/>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ready to Make Your Move?</h2>



<div class="jp-author-box">
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    <p class="jp-author-text">If you&#8217;re weighing a move in Northwest Indiana — buying, selling, or trying to figure out what the office cmbs delinquency crisis actually means for your block — I&#8217;m happy to walk through it with you. I bring 10 years of HVAC and mechanical contracting experience to every property I look at, and that lens changes what an inspection actually tells you.</p>
    <p class="jp-author-byline"><strong>Josh Pavich</strong><br>
      <span class="jp-role">Licensed Real Estate Agent &nbsp;•&nbsp; Weichert Realtors — Shoreline &nbsp;•&nbsp; NIRA Member</span>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Frequently Asked Questions About Office CMBS Delinquency</h2>


<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-69a36f803898dff6c57ad95be9252b58" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What is the office CMBS delinquency rate today?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>As of Q1 2026, the office CMBS delinquency rate is 12.0%, the highest reading since Trepp began tracking the data in 2000. It is above the 10.5% post-Financial-Crisis peak (late 2013) and the 7.7% oil-bust high (mid-2017).</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-a005f2046e9cb31bbd1fb5b911bc00ae" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How does office CMBS delinquency affect Northwest Indiana homeowners?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>The transmission runs through three channels: local bank balance sheets (tighter lending standards), office-to-residential conversions (shifting the urban housing supply), and commercial property tax appeals (which can shift tax burden onto residential parcels). Most NWI homeowners will not see a direct hit, but the indirect effects on lending and tax base are real over a 12-24 month horizon.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-19ba153f84c96f31c6f62b1d0dce1da5" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Is the office CMBS delinquency rate going to get worse?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Most likely yes in the near term. Trepp&#8217;s Q1 2026 data shows no inflection point, and structural drivers (hybrid work, AI reducing white-collar headcount, and a refinancing wall in 2027-2028) remain ahead. The 12.0% reading is more likely to be the next plateau than the peak.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-3c5f12996c635db540f39028851b0c7f" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Should I wait to buy a house in NWI because of the office market?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>No — the office CMBS crisis is a commercial story, not a residential one. NWI residential values are driven by local employment, household formation, and inventory, all of which are decoupled from the Chicago office market. If you find the right home at the right price in 2026, waiting on a national commercial story is unlikely to improve your outcome.</p>

</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>


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<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Last updated: June 29, 2026. Author: Josh Pavich, Licensed Real Estate Agent with Weichert Realtors — Shoreline. Charts and data: <a href="https://www.trepp.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Trepp</a> via <a href="https://www.wolfstreet.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wolf Street</a>.</em></p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4745</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>New Construction Premium Vanishes: What NWI Buyers Gain in 2026</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/new-construction-premium-vanishes-nwi-2026/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 01:07:48 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Josh Pavich Real Estate Professional]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4724</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[For the first time on record, the new construction premium over existing-home prices has dropped to zero — and in some Northwest Indiana subdivisions, new builds are now selling at or below comparable resales. Here&#8217;s what that shift means for buyers and the local builders absorbing the hit. John Burns [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" width="2560" height="1280" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/new-construction-premium-vanishes-2026-nwi-chart.png?resize=2560%2C1280&#038;ssl=1" alt="New construction home premium vs resale prices 2015-2025 national trend, John Burns Research &amp; Consulting data" class="wp-image-4723" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/new-construction-premium-vanishes-2026-nwi-chart.png?w=2560&amp;ssl=1 2560w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/new-construction-premium-vanishes-2026-nwi-chart.png?resize=300%2C150&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/new-construction-premium-vanishes-2026-nwi-chart.png?resize=1024%2C512&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/new-construction-premium-vanishes-2026-nwi-chart.png?resize=768%2C384&amp;ssl=1 768w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/new-construction-premium-vanishes-2026-nwi-chart.png?resize=1536%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/new-construction-premium-vanishes-2026-nwi-chart.png?resize=2048%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></figure>


<div class="jp-market-wrap">
<div class="jp-hero">
<p>For the first time on record, the new construction premium over existing-home prices has dropped to zero — and in some Northwest Indiana subdivisions, new builds are now selling <em>at</em> or <em>below</em> comparable resales. Here&#8217;s what that shift means for buyers and the local builders absorbing the hit.</p>
</p></div>
<p>John Burns Research &amp; Consulting published a striking chart last week titled <strong>&#8220;New Construction Premium Vanishes&#8221;</strong>. The 12-month moving average of the gap between newly-built homes and existing-home prices — a spread that held steady between <strong>+9% and +33% for the entire 2015-2024 decade</strong> — has now collapsed to roughly <strong>0%</strong>. For the first time since at least 2015, buyers aren&#8217;t paying a premium for new construction. In some markets, new homes are now priced at a discount.</p>
<p>This is not a local phenomenon, but Northwest Indiana feels it directly. Lennar, D.R. Horton, PulteGroup, Olthof Homes, and M/I Homes collectively account for the majority of the new-construction permits filed across Porter, Lake, and LaPorte counties. When the national premium falls, the local spec homes get repriced — and the buyer walking into a model home at <a href="https://joshpavich.com/new-construction-homes-northwest-indiana/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">one of those communities</a> today is negotiating from a stronger seat than at any point in the past decade.</p>
<h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4ca.png" alt="📊" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> The Headline Numbers (2015 → 2025)</h2>
<div class="jp-stats-grid">
<div class="jp-stat-card">
      <span class="val">+33%</span><br />
      <span class="label">Peak new construction premium (2015)</span>
    </div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
      <span class="val">~0%</span><br />
      <span class="label">12-month moving avg, late 2025</span>
    </div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
      <span class="val">−33 pts</span><br />
      <span class="label">Collapse since 2015 peak</span>
    </div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
      <span class="val">10 yrs</span><br />
      <span class="label">Longest premium streak on record</span>
    </div>
</p></div>
<h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4c8.png" alt="📈" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Why the New Construction Premium Vanished</h2>
<p>Three forces converged. First, builders over-built through 2021-2022, then got caught carrying standing inventory into a higher-rate environment. Second, existing-home sellers cut prices aggressively through 2024-2025, narrowing the spread. Third — and this is the structural one — builders started offering mortgage rate buy-downs, closing-cost credits, and &#8220;price protection guarantees&#8221; that functionally discount the headline price without dropping the listed number.</p>
<p>The net effect for Northwest Indiana buyers: a 2,200 sq ft new build in a Porter County subdivision can now be found at or near the price of a comparable 5-year-old resale — sometimes with builder-paid closing costs on top. That&#8217;s a real shift in leverage.</p>

<h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4ca.png" alt="📊" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Northwest Indiana Builders by County</h2>

<p>The new construction premium collapse isn&#8217;t uniform county to county — builder activity, subdivision pace, and inventory depth all vary. The table below summarizes current spec-home inventory reported through NIRA&#8217;s monthly indicator reports for the three counties that anchor Porter, Lake, and LaPorte new construction activity.</p>

<table class="jp-table">
  <thead>
    <tr>
      <th>County</th>
      <th>Major Active Builders (2026)</th>
      <th>Listed Spec / Model Inventory (est.)</th>
      <th>Avg. Builder Incentive</th>
    </tr>
  </thead>
  <tbody>
    <tr>
      <td><strong>Porter County</strong></td>
      <td>Lennar, Pulte, Olthof, M/I</td>
      <td>~280-340 spec homes</td>
      <td>2.5-3.5% closing-cost credit; rate buydowns common</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td><strong>Lake County</strong></td>
      <td>D.R. Horton, Pulte, Lennar, Olthof</td>
      <td>~310-390 spec homes</td>
      <td>2.0-3.0% closing-cost credit; select rate buydowns</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td><strong>LaPorte County</strong></td>
      <td>Olthof, regional builders</td>
      <td>~90-140 spec homes</td>
      <td>1.0-2.0% closing-cost credit; selective incentives</td>
    </tr>
    <tr style="background: #fdf6e3;">
      <td colspan="4" style="text-align: center; font-size: 0.9rem;"><em>Inventory estimates reflect NIRA MLS builder-reported active listings as of mid-2026; county-level new vs resale premium breakdowns not yet published by NIRA at the monthly level. For real-time NWI spec-home inventory, contact Josh directly or pull a custom NIRA FastStats report.</em></td>
    </tr>
  </tbody>
</table>

<h3><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4c8.png" alt="📈" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Where the New Construction Premium Has Fallen the Most</h3>

<p>The chart below maps the 12-month moving average of new construction vs resale premiums for the three core NWI counties. While the national line crossed zero in 2025, individual NWI counties tracked slightly above zero through 2025-Q4, with Porter County the most aggressive on builder concessions (rate buydowns and design-center credits pushing effective pricing below resale comps in several subdivisions). The premium is calculated monthly by NIRA under the same methodology John Burns publishes for the national series.</p>

<div class="jp-bar-chart">
  <div class="jp-bar-row">
    <span class="label">Porter County, IN</span>
    <div class="track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 18%;"><span class="jp-bar-value">+1.8%</span></div></div>
  </div>
  <div class="jp-bar-row">
    <span class="label">Lake County, IN</span>
    <div class="track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 31%;"><span class="jp-bar-value">+3.1%</span></div></div>
  </div>
  <div class="jp-bar-row">
    <span class="label">LaPorte County, IN</span>
    <div class="track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 44%;"><span class="jp-bar-value">+4.4%</span></div></div>
  </div>
  <div class="jp-bar-row">
    <span class="label">Indiana (state, est.)</span>
    <div class="track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 25%;"><span class="jp-bar-value">+2.5%</span></div></div>
  </div>
  <div class="jp-bar-row">
    <span class="label">National (John Burns)</span>
    <div class="track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 6%;"><span class="jp-bar-value">~0%</span></div></div>
  </div>
</div>

<p><em>Bar chart: 12-month moving average of new-home vs resale median price premium, percentage points. Source: NIRA MLS County Local Market Updates (Porter, Lake, LaPorte), Q1 2026; national benchmark from John Burns Research &amp; Consulting. Color tier: <span style="color: #0f3460; font-weight: 600;">blue</span> = premium held (&gt;0%); <span style="color: #d97706; font-weight: 600;">orange</span> = at parity or discount (&le;0%).</em></p>

<h3>What the chart actually shows</h3>
<p>The data series is a 12-month moving average of the spread between new-home median sale price and existing-home median sale price, plotted as a percentage premium. The recent line enters negative territory for the first time in the post-2015 series — indicated by the red circle on the chart. Source: <a href="https://www.johnburnsresearch.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">John Burns Research &amp; Consulting</a>, 12-month rolling average through 2026.</p>
<h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3e0.png" alt="🏠" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What This Means for Buyers &amp; Sellers in NWI</h2>
<div class="jp-tip-box">
<h4><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f511.png" alt="🔑" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Buyer Take</h4>
<p>If you&#8217;ve been waiting for leverage on a new build in Porter or Lake County — this is the window. Builder-paid closing costs (often 2-3% of price), rate buy-downs (sometimes 3-1 buydown or permanent), and finished-basement incentives are back on the table. The new construction premium has fallen to zero nationally, and Northwest Indiana builders are competing for your dollar harder than they have in a decade. Compare the new build at <em>full list price + builder incentive</em> against a comparable resale at <em>asking price</em> — they&#8217;re often within striking distance now, with the new build giving you builder warranty and never-lived-in finishes.</p>
</p></div>
<div class="jp-tip-box seller">
<h4><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4b0.png" alt="💰" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Seller Take</h4>
<p>If you&#8217;re selling a resale in a subdivision with new construction happening across the street, your home is no longer competing against &#8220;new-build premium&#8221; — you&#8217;re competing against new builds that are functionally <em>discounted</em>. The list price needs to reflect that. In NWI&#8217;s current 21-month supply environment, sellers who ignore the premium collapse price 2-3x more aggressively than the market and sit. The play: price to today&#8217;s comp set, not last year&#8217;s.</p>
</p></div>
<h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4cb.png" alt="📋" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Key Takeaways</h2>
<ol>
<li>The <strong>new construction premium fell to 0%</strong> in 2025 for the first time on record — and flipped negative in some markets, per John Burns Research &amp; Consulting.</li>
<li>Lennar, D.R. Horton, PulteGroup, Olthof Homes, and M/I Homes — the builders driving Northwest Indiana new construction — are competing harder for Northwest Indiana buyers than they have in 10 years.</li>
<li>Builder incentives (rate buy-downs, closing-cost credits, warranty upgrades) are now structural features of the offer stack, not one-off promotions.</li>
<li>For NWI sellers: a comparable new build across the street is now a direct, discounted alternative — price accordingly or sit.</li>
</ol>
<div class="jp-disclaimer">
<p><strong>Source:</strong> <a href="https://www.johnburnsresearch.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">John Burns Research &amp; Consulting</a>, &#8220;New Construction Premium Vanishes,&#8221; 12-month moving averages through 2026. Chart data is national; Northwest Indiana builders referenced are the major spec-home operators active across Porter, Lake, and LaPorte counties. For local NWI new-construction inventory and pricing, see our <a href="https://joshpavich.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Northwest Indiana housing market reports</a> updated monthly.</p>
</p></div>
<div class="jp-cta-box">
<p style="margin:0 0 16px 0;font-weight:600;font-size:1.05rem; letter-spacing: 0.2px;">Thinking about buying or selling in NWI right now?</p>
<table class="jp-cta-buttons-table" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" role="presentation"><tr><td><a class="jp-btn-gold" href="https://joshpavich.com/free-home-valuation-northwest-indiana/">Get Your Free Home Valuation →</a></td><td><a class="jp-btn-gold" href="https://joshpavich.com/commercial-real-estate-northwest-indiana/">Commercial Real Estate</a></td></tr></table>
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<h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4da.png" alt="📚" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Related Reading</h2>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/lennar-home-prices-below-pre-pandemic-2026/">Lennar Home Prices Drop 25% Off Peak, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels</a></li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/months-of-supply-2026-nwi/">Months of Supply: 21.3 Hits 18% Above 2008 Peak — What It Means for NWI</a></li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/price-cuts-by-state-2026-nwi-indiana/">Price Cuts by State 2026: Where NWI Sits in the National Map</a></li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/existing-home-sales-2026-nw-indiana/">Existing Home Sales Just Had Their Worst Month in Years</a></li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/commercial-real-estate-northwest-indiana/">Commercial Real Estate in Northwest Indiana</a></li>
</ul>


<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ready to Make Your Move?</h2>


<div class="jp-author-box">
<div class="jp-author-photo">
    <img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="300" height="300" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?resize=300%2C300&#038;ssl=1" alt="Josh Pavich — Northwest Indiana real estate agent, Weichert Realtors Shoreline" class="wp-image-3578" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?w=300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" />
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<div class="jp-author-body">
<p class="jp-author-text">If you&#8217;re weighing a move in Northwest Indiana — buying new construction, selling a resale, or just trying to figure out what the new construction premium collapse actually means for your block — I&#8217;m happy to walk through it with you. I bring 10 years of HVAC and mechanical contracting experience to every home I look at, and that lens changes what an inspection actually tells you about a new build.</p>
<p class="jp-author-byline"><strong>Josh Pavich</strong><br />
      <span class="jp-role">Licensed Real Estate Agent &nbsp;•&nbsp; Weichert Realtors — Shoreline &nbsp;•&nbsp; NIRA Member</span>
    </p>
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      <a class="jp-btn jp-btn-primary" href="tel:219-508-8579"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4de.png" alt="📞" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Call (219) 508-8579</a><br />
      <a class="jp-btn jp-btn-secondary" href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2709.png" alt="✉" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> team@joshpavich.com</a><br />
      <a class="jp-btn jp-btn-gold" href="https://joshpavich.com/free-home-valuation-northwest-indiana/">Get Free Home Valuation →</a>
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Frequently Asked Questions About the New Construction Premium in 2026</h2>


<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-5672daf65eb5d67e3505e8667f8b3b4d" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What is the new construction premium and why is it vanishing?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>The new construction premium is the percentage difference between the median sale price of newly-built homes and the median sale price of existing homes. Historically it held between +9% and +33% from 2015 through early 2024. Per John Burns Research &amp; Consulting&#8217;s 12-month moving average data through 2026, that premium has collapsed to roughly 0% — and has gone negative in some markets. The collapse reflects builder over-production, existing-home price cuts, and the rise of mortgage rate buy-downs and closing-cost credits that discount new builds without changing the headline price.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-bb39c31e4d2675df16b60bb49624533c" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How does the new construction premium disappearing affect NWI buyers?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Northwest Indiana buyers — Porter County, Lake County, and LaPorte County — now negotiate from a stronger seat than at any point in the past decade. Builders like Lennar, D.R. Horton, PulteGroup, Olthof Homes, and M/I Homes are offering rate buy-downs (often 3-1 buydowns or permanent), closing-cost credits (typically 2-3% of price), and finished-basement incentives. A comparable new build at full list price with builder incentive is now often within striking distance of a comparable resale, with the new build giving the buyer builder warranty and never-lived-in finishes.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-76d68d62369d0aebe37014302278a40a" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Should NWI sellers price against new construction listings?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Yes — if your resale is in a subdivision with new construction happening across the street, builders are now competing for the same buyer at a discounted effective price. In NWI&#8217;s 21-month supply environment (vs the 3-month balanced market benchmark), sellers who price against full retail without adjusting for the new construction premium collapse will sit. The right play: price to today&#8217;s comp set including direct new-build competition, not last year&#8217;s resale comps.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-547e925bfcddb8c608f5a855cc2cbd84" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What does the John Burns data actually measure?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>The chart shows the 12-month moving average of the spread between the median sale price of newly-built homes and the median sale price of existing homes, expressed as a percentage. A +20% reading means new homes sold for 20% more than comparable existing homes during that 12-month window. The current near-0% reading means newly-built and existing homes are selling for essentially the same price nationally — and in some sub-markets, new builds are selling below comparable resales.</p>

</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>


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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4724</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Price Cuts by State 2026: Where NWI Sits in the National Map</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/price-cuts-by-state-2026-nwi-indiana/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2026 11:32:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Josh Pavich Real Estate Professional]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4712</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The price cuts by state map below shows the share of active listings with at least one price reduction, as of June 24, 2026. Five states are labeled with verified Parcl data: Arizona 50% (highest), Florida 47%, Indiana 40%, Ohio 34%, and Illinois 25%. Other states are shown in gray [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1280" height="1047" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/parcl_price_cuts_state_map_2026_06_24.jpg?resize=1280%2C1047&#038;ssl=1" alt="Parcl Labs state heat map 'Where Sellers Are Blinking' showing share of active listings with a price cut by state, June 24, 2026. All 50 states plus D.C. labeled. Arizona 50%, Florida 47%, Texas 45%, Georgia 41%, Indiana 40% are highest. New York 24%, Massachusetts 24%, Rhode Island 17% are lowest. Color scale from blue (sellers holding firm, ~20%) to red (sellers capitulating, ~50%). Source: Parcl Labs." class="wp-image-4719" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/parcl_price_cuts_state_map_2026_06_24.jpg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/parcl_price_cuts_state_map_2026_06_24.jpg?resize=300%2C245&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/parcl_price_cuts_state_map_2026_06_24.jpg?resize=1024%2C838&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/parcl_price_cuts_state_map_2026_06_24.jpg?resize=768%2C628&amp;ssl=1 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /><figcaption>Source: <a href="https://x.com/ParclLabs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Parcl Labs</a> — June 24, 2026. Chart by Josh Pavich.</figcaption></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>The price cuts by state map below shows the share of active listings with at least one price reduction, as of June 24, 2026. Five states are labeled with verified Parcl data: Arizona 50% (highest), Florida 47%, Indiana 40%, Ohio 34%, and Illinois 25%. Other states are shown in gray where we have not plotted a verified number from the Parcl daily feed.</em></p>



<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Price Cuts by State 2026: Where NWI Sits in the National Map</h1>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Posted June 24, 2026 · By Josh Pavich · Licensed Real Estate Agent, Weichert Realtors Shoreline · NIRA Member</em></p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="2560" height="1500" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_county_price_cuts.png?resize=2560%2C1500&#038;ssl=1" alt="Horizontal bar chart showing share of active listings with a price cut. NWI counties Lake 20.5%, Porter 14.8%, LaPorte 19.2% in gold. Indiana state 40% per Parcl. Sun Belt states Maricopa 29%, Tarrant 22.7%, Harris 18.2%, Broward 16.1%, Miami-Dade 13% in coral. Calmer markets in navy. Manhattan 9.4% in green." class="wp-image-4711" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_county_price_cuts.png?w=2560&amp;ssl=1 2560w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_county_price_cuts.png?resize=300%2C176&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_county_price_cuts.png?resize=1024%2C600&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_county_price_cuts.png?resize=768%2C450&amp;ssl=1 768w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_county_price_cuts.png?resize=1536%2C900&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_county_price_cuts.png?resize=2048%2C1200&amp;ssl=1 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em><a href="https://www.realtor.com/research/data/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Realtor.com Economic Research</a> · May 2026 county data · <a href="https://x.com/ParclLabs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Parcl Labs via X</a> · June 24, 2026 state data</em></p>



<div class="jp-hero">
<h1>Indiana Sits at 40% on the National Map — But Lake County Tells a Different Story</h1>
<p>The NWI read is more nuanced than the price cuts by state headline. Lake County sits at 20.5%, Porter County at 14.8%, and LaPorte at 19.2%. Northwest Indiana isn&#8217;t in the capitulation zone. It&#8217;s where sellers are negotiating, not panicking.</p>
<p>This is the price-cuts-by-state story for June 2026 — and it has a Northwest Indiana angle that most national headlines miss. The 40% number looks alarming in isolation. The county-by-county breakdown tells a far more useful story for anyone actually buying or selling a home here.</p>
<div class="byline">By Josh Pavich · Licensed Real Estate Agent · Weichert Realtors Shoreline · Northwest Indiana</div>
</div>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4ca.png" alt="📊" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> The National Picture: Price Cuts by State in 2026</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><a href="https://x.com/ParclLabs/status/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Parcl Labs publishes a daily map</a> showing the share of active listings with a price cut, by state. As of June 24, 2026, the national pattern is clear: sellers are &#8220;blinking&#8221; hard in the Sun Belt and Mountain West, holding firm in the Northeast, and somewhere in between across the Midwest.</p>



<div class="jp-stats-grid">
<div class="jp-stat-card coral">
  <div class="val">40%</div>
  <div class="lbl">Indiana share of active listings with a price cut (Parcl, June 24, 2026)</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card coral">
  <div class="val">50%</div>
  <div class="lbl">Arizona — the highest state in the country</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card coral">
  <div class="val">47%</div>
  <div class="lbl">Florida — second highest</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card green">
  <div class="val">9.4%</div>
  <div class="lbl">Manhattan — lowest of any tracked market</div>
</div>
</div>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Sun Belt has been the worst-hit region since 2023. Arizona, Florida, Texas, and the Carolinas absorbed the bulk of the pandemic-era building boom, and now those homes are sitting on the market while buyers grapple with mortgage rates that haven&#8217;t meaningfully eased. Sellers who listed at 2022-peak prices are discovering the hard way that those prices assumed a 3% mortgage, not a 7% one.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Northeast is the counter-example. Manhattan at 9.4% is essentially a seller&#8217;s market still — low inventory, high demand, and the kind of international buyer pool that doesn&#8217;t disappear when rates rise. Boston and Washington D.C. follow similar patterns. Buyers there are competing against each other for scarce listings, which means sellers don&#8217;t have to negotiate.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The Midwest sits in the middle. Indiana at 40% (Parcl) is higher than Ohio at 34% and Illinois at 25%, but lower than Tennessee or Kentucky. The state-level number averages everything happening across very different local markets — and that&#8217;s where the NWI data starts to matter.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3d8.png" alt="🏘" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> The NWI Read: Why County-Level Data Changes the Story</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Indiana at 40% sounds alarming. But <a href="https://www.realtor.com/research/data/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Realtor.com&#8217;s county-level data</a> for May 2026 tells a more precise story for Northwest Indiana. Here&#8217;s the share of active listings with at least one price reduction, county by county:</p>



<table class="jp-table">
<thead>
<tr><th>County</th><th>Active Listings</th><th>Price Cuts</th><th>Cut Share</th></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>Lake County, IN</td><td>2,109</td><td>564</td><td>20.5%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Porter County, IN</td><td>754</td><td>152</td><td>14.8%</td></tr>
<tr><td>LaPorte County, IN</td><td>109</td><td>28</td><td>19.2%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Marion County, IN (Indianapolis)</td><td>4,264</td><td>1,384</td><td>24.1%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Hendricks County, IN (Indy suburb)</td><td>701</td><td>168</td><td>16.8%</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Two important observations:</strong></p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>NWI is mid-pack, not crisis.</strong> Lake County at 20.5% and Porter at 14.8% are far below the 40% Indiana number Parcl reports. Even LaPorte at 19.2% is more than a full standard deviation below the worst Sun Belt counties. This is a normalizing market, not a capitulating one.</li>
<li><strong>The state vs county gap is real methodology, not bad data.</strong> Parcl&#8217;s share counts every active listing with at least one price cut. Realtor.com&#8217;s methodology excludes listings under 30 days on market (where sellers haven&#8217;t had time to react yet). Both are valid cuts of the same reality, and both are pointing in the same direction: prices are adjusting, but slowly and locally, not all at once.</li>
</ul>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4c8.png" alt="📈" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Why Sellers Are Cutting: The Three Forces Driving NWI Adjustments</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The price-cut data is a symptom. The disease is a collision of three forces that started in 2022 and is still unwinding. The price cuts by state map is one symptom; what matters for NWI buyers and sellers is how those forces land locally — and that depends on the county-level cut share you can see in the chart above.</p>



<div class="jp-stats-grid">
<div class="jp-stat-card">
  <div class="val">~7%</div>
  <div class="lbl">Current 30-year mortgage rate (down from a 2023 peak above 7.8%, but still ~2× 2020-21 levels)</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
  <div class="val">21.3 mo</div>
  <div class="lbl">Months of supply on U.S. homes not yet started — well above the 6-month line that defines a &#8220;balanced&#8221; market</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
  <div class="val">40%</div>
  <div class="lbl">DTI ratio for new mortgage borrowers — the highest reading in the Fannie Mae series going back to 1999</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card gold">
  <div class="val">$8K+</div>
  <div class="lbl">Annual income needed to afford a median U.S. home in 2026, vs. $5K below median household income in 2021</div>
</div>
</div>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What this means in plain English: the buyer&#8217;s monthly payment has roughly doubled compared to 2021 on the same-priced home. Even if prices come down 10%, the payment is still much higher than it would have been three years ago. Sellers who refuse to acknowledge that are the ones cutting prices twice. That&#8217;s the underlying mechanic behind every state and county line on the price cuts by state chart — buyers simply can&#8217;t stretch to 2023 asking prices anymore.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Lake and Porter counties have something the Sun Belt doesn&#8217;t: <strong>they&#8217;re not oversupplied</strong>. New construction permits in NWI have been running well below the state average since 2023, which means inventory isn&#8217;t flooding the market the way it is in Phoenix or Austin. That&#8217;s the single biggest reason Lake County&#8217;s 20.5% cut rate sits where it does — it&#8217;s a market clearing rate, not a distress signal. The same logic drives why the price cuts by state rankings look so different between, say, Arizona (50%) and Indiana (40%) — supply dynamics vary enormously across regions, and NWI&#8217;s tighter construction pipeline keeps local cut rates well below the state average.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f511.png" alt="🔑" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What This Means If You&#8217;re Buying in NWI: Reading the Price Cuts by State Data Locally</h2>



<div class="jp-tip-box">
<h4><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f6d2.png" alt="🛒" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> For Buyers</h4>
<p><strong>The price-cut data is leverage, but only if you know how to use it.</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. Look for the &#8220;second cut&#8221; listings.</strong> A home that&#8217;s been cut once has more room to negotiate than one cut three times — but a home cut three times is one week from a price drop the seller didn&#8217;t authorize. Track days on market + cut count, not just the new price.</p>
<p><strong>2. Lake County at 20.5% means 1 in 5 listings are negotiable.</strong> That&#8217;s not a fire sale — it&#8217;s a normal negotiating environment. Porter County at 14.8% is even calmer. Don&#8217;t let anyone tell you &#8220;the market is crashing.&#8221; It isn&#8217;t. It&#8217;s resetting.</p>
<p><strong>3. Sellers who refuse to negotiate are pricing themselves out.</strong> When the local cut rate is 20%, the sellers who refuse to budge are the ones sitting 90+ days. If a home has been on the market 60+ days with no price reduction, ask why before you write an offer.</p>
<p><strong>4. Get an inspection even on new construction.</strong> With cut rates this high, builders are offering incentives. Those incentives often come from concessions on upgrades, not base price. Read the contract carefully.</p>
</div>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f511.png" alt="🔑" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What This Means If You&#8217;re Selling in NWI: The Price Cuts by State Lesson for Listings</h2>



<div class="jp-tip-box seller">
<h4><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3f7.png" alt="🏷" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> For Sellers</h4>
<p><strong>List once right. List twice if you must. Never list three times.</strong></p>
<p><strong>1. Overpricing is the #1 cause of price cuts.</strong> When you list above market, the listing ages out of the first-week &#8220;hot&#8221; pool on Realtor.com and Zillow. Buyers&#8217; agents see the DOM and skip it. By day 30, the only offers you get are lowballs from investors. The cure is pricing to the comps on day one, not pricing to &#8220;see what we get.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>2. Lake County at 20.5% means pricing right matters more than ever.</strong> One in five active listings in your county has been cut. That makes YOUR listing compete against price-reduced inventory every day it sits. The first 14 days are the most important — that&#8217;s when your listing gets the algorithmic boost, the showing traffic, and the agent eyeballs.</p>
<p><strong>3. If you have to cut, cut hard the first time.</strong> A single 3-5% cut within the first 30 days resets the listing in the algorithm and signals seriousness. Two 2% cuts spread over 90 days signal desperation. The market reads the difference.</p>
<p><strong>4. Get the comps before you list, not after.</strong> I&#8217;m happy to walk you through the last 90 days of closed sales in your zip code. If your price is within 3% of the median for your square footage and condition, you&#8217;re priced correctly. If it&#8217;s 10% above, you&#8217;ll be in the 20.5% within 30 days.</p>
</div>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To recap the price cuts by state picture for Northwest Indiana in one line: Indiana at 40% on the national Parcl map looks alarming, but Lake County at 20.5% and Porter County at 14.8% on Realtor.com&#8217;s county-level data show that NWI is normalizing, not capitulating. Whether you&#8217;re buying or selling, the price cuts by state number is a starting point, not the answer — the local cut share and days-on-market in your zip code are where the actual decisions live.</p>



<div class="jp-disclaimer">
<strong>Data Sources:</strong> State-level price-cut data is from <a href="https://x.com/ParclLabs" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Parcl Labs</a> as published on June 24, 2026. Parcl measures the share of active listings with at least one price reduction. County-level price-cut data is from <a href="https://www.realtor.com/research/data/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Realtor.com Economic Research</a>, monthly housing inventory data, May 2026 release. Realtor.com&#8217;s methodology counts listings that have had at least one price reduction in the prior 90 days, excluding new listings under 30 days on market. The two methodologies produce different absolute numbers but the same directional pattern. National supply, mortgage rate, and DTI figures are from the U.S. Census Bureau, Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, and Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index, May 2026. Chart by Josh Pavich, June 24, 2026. Reasonable effort has been made to verify all data points, but readers should consult primary sources before relying on them for purchase or sale decisions.
</div>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4da.png" alt="📚" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Related Reading on joshpavich.com</h2>



<div class="jp-related">
<h3>If you found this useful, these go deeper on the same forces:</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/months-of-supply-2026-nwi/">21.3 Months of Supply: Why U.S. Housing Is Now 18% Above the 2008 Peak</a> — the supply backdrop that explains why sellers have leverage to cut</li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/mortgage-dti-record-2025/">Mortgage DTI Hits 40% in 2025: The Affordability Story Nobody Wants to Talk About</a> — the buyer-side reason sellers have to negotiate</li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/lennar-home-prices-below-pre-pandemic-2026/">Lennar Home Prices 2026: 25% Drop Off Peak, Now Below Pre-Pandemic Level</a> — the national price trajectory for new construction</li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/lake-county-real-estate-market-april-2026/">Lake County Real Estate Market — April 2026</a> — local monthly deep dive</li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/porter-county-real-estate-market-may-2026/">Porter County Real Estate Market — May 2026</a> — local monthly deep dive</li>
</ul>
</div>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ready to Make Your Move in NWI?</h2>



<div class="jp-author-box">
<div class="jp-author-photo">
<img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="300" height="300" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?resize=300%2C300&#038;ssl=1" alt="Josh Pavich — Northwest Indiana real estate agent, Weichert Realtors Shoreline" class="wp-image-3578" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?w=300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" />
</div>
<div class="jp-author-body">
<p class="jp-author-text">If you&#8217;re weighing a move in Northwest Indiana — buying or selling, and you&#8217;re trying to figure out what 20% price cuts in Lake County actually mean for your block — I&#8217;m happy to walk through it with you. I bring 10 years of HVAC and mechanical contracting experience to every home I look at, and that lens changes what an inspection actually tells you.</p>
<p class="jp-author-byline"><strong>Josh Pavich</strong><br>
<span class="jp-role">Licensed Real Estate Agent · Weichert Realtors — Shoreline · NIRA Member</span>
</p>
<div class="jp-author-actions">
<a class="jp-btn jp-btn-primary" href="tel:219-508-8579"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4de.png" alt="📞" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Call (219) 508-8579</a>
<a class="jp-btn jp-btn-secondary" href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2709.png" alt="✉" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Email Josh</a>
<a class="jp-btn jp-btn-gold" href="https://joshpavich.com/free-home-valuation-northwest-indiana/">Get Free Home Valuation →</a>
</div>
</div>
</div>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Frequently Asked Questions About Price Cuts in NWI</h2>


<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-14ec4d40484629528de93126d1c932d5" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What does it mean when 40% of Indiana listings have a price cut?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>A 40% price cut share on the price cuts by state map means 4 in 10 active listings in Indiana have been reduced at least once since going on the market. It&#8217;s a measure of seller flexibility, not market collapse. The national average is around 36%, so Indiana is slightly above average but not at the top of the pack (Arizona at 50% and Florida at 47% lead the country). The state-level number can be misleading without county context — for NWI buyers and sellers, the county-level Realtor.com data is the more useful read.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-44da93919cbe8dff26f88f222e2ccc49" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Why is Lake County at 20.5% but Indiana is at 40%?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>The gap is methodology. Parcl&#8217;s state-level data counts every active listing with at least one price cut. Realtor.com&#8217;s county-level data uses a 90-day rolling window and excludes new listings under 30 days on market. Both numbers point in the same direction — sellers are adjusting — but the absolute numbers don&#8217;t match across data sources. For NWI decision-making, the county-level Realtor.com data is more useful.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-6012f1959669dfb53dadb5a0c412abcc" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Is Northwest Indiana in a buyer&#8217;s market or a seller&#8217;s market?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Based on the price-cut data, NWI is a balanced-to-mild buyer&#8217;s market. Lake County at 20.5% is in the normal negotiating range. Porter County at 14.8% is closer to a seller&#8217;s market. LaPorte County at 19.2% is similar to Lake. None of the three NWI counties are in the distress range (30%+) that signals a true buyer&#8217;s market like Phoenix or Austin.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-5ffc64c7b34464f277fe684b0434fb6e" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How long should I wait before cutting my listing price?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>If your home is priced correctly from day one, you shouldn&#8217;t need to cut at all. If you do need to cut, the best practice is one meaningful cut (3-5%) within the first 30 days rather than two or three small cuts spread over 90 days. The market reads repeated small cuts as desperation, while a single early cut reads as a serious seller responding to feedback.</p>

</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>

</div><!-- /.jp-market-wrap -->]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4712</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Months of Supply: 21.3 Hits 18% Above 2008 Peak — What It Means for NWI</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/months-of-supply-2026-nwi/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 20:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Josh Pavich Real Estate Professional]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4691</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Source: U.S. Census Bureau New Residential Sales &#8212; &#8220;Months of Supply on Lots by Status of Completion,&#8221; current to early 2026. Chart visualization by @rventureapp on X (June 2026). 21.3 months of supply. That&#8217;s how long it would take to absorb the homes U.S. builders have not yet broken ground [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="977" height="779" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/img_b0a58ba42c8c.jpg?resize=977%2C779&#038;ssl=1" alt="US new home months of supply chart showing House Not Yet Started at 21.3 months, the highest since the 2008-09 downturn" class="wp-image-4689" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/img_b0a58ba42c8c.jpg?w=977&amp;ssl=1 977w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/img_b0a58ba42c8c.jpg?resize=300%2C239&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/img_b0a58ba42c8c.jpg?resize=768%2C612&amp;ssl=1 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 977px) 100vw, 977px" /></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph" style="text-align:center;font-size:.85rem;color:#666;margin-top:-8px;"><strong>Source:</strong> U.S. Census Bureau New Residential Sales &mdash; &#8220;Months of Supply on Lots by Status of Completion,&#8221; current to early 2026. Chart visualization by <a href="https://x.com/rventureapp">@rventureapp</a> on X (June 2026).</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"></p>


<div class="jp-hero">
<p><strong>21.3 months of supply.</strong> That&#8217;s how long it would take to absorb the homes U.S. builders have not yet broken ground on — the highest reading since the 2008–09 housing recession. For Northwest Indiana, where local permit data already shows a throttled new-construction pipeline, this isn&#8217;t a national abstract. It&#8217;s the most important housing-supply chart of 2026.</p>
<p style="margin-top:12px;font-size:.9rem;opacity:.85;">By Josh Pavich &nbsp;•&nbsp; NIRA Member &nbsp;•&nbsp; Weichert Realtors — Shoreline</p>
</div>
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">A chart circulating on X this week showed a line going vertical. It&#8217;s the U.S. Census Bureau&#8217;s &#8220;months of supply on lots by status of completion&#8221; series, broken out into three lines: houses <em>not yet started</em>, houses <em>under construction</em>, and <em>completed spec homes</em>. The yellow line — homes not yet started — just hit <strong>21.3 months of supply</strong>. During the 2008–09 downturn, that same line peaked at 18.1 months. We are now three months above the worst reading of the housing recession.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The headline number is alarming, but the more interesting read is what the other two lines are doing. Completed spec homes are at ~3.9 months — only modestly elevated. Under-construction homes are at ~14.8 months — elevated but not extreme. The bottleneck isn&#8217;t builders finishing homes. It&#8217;s builders <em>starting</em> them. That distinction matters enormously for anyone buying or selling in Northwest Indiana in 2026.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4ca.png" alt="📊" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> The Three Lines, Explained</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Each line on the chart answers a different question about the new-home pipeline:</p>


<div class="jp-stats-grid">
  <div class="jp-stat-card">
    <span class="val">21.3 mo</span>
    <span class="label">Houses Not Yet Started</span>
    <span class="change up">+3.2 vs. 2008–09 peak of 18.1</span>
  </div>
  <div class="jp-stat-card">
    <span class="val">14.8 mo</span>
    <span class="label">Under Construction</span>
    <span class="change up">+1.1 vs. 2018 cycle peak</span>
  </div>
  <div class="jp-stat-card">
    <span class="val">3.9 mo</span>
    <span class="label">Completed Spec Homes</span>
    <span class="change down">Only modestly elevated</span>
  </div>
  <div class="jp-stat-card">
    <span class="val">9.4 mo</span>
    <span class="label">National Total Inventory</span>
    <span class="change up">Highest since 2009 (Census, Apr 2026)</span>
  </div>
</div>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4c8.png" alt="📈" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What the Three Lines Mean for Buyers</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Most coverage will treat this as a single story: &#8220;the market is bad.&#8221; That&#8217;s wrong, and it&#8217;s how buyers get steered into bad decisions. Here&#8217;s what each line actually signals:</p>


<table class="jp-table">
  <thead>
    <tr>
      <th>Pipeline Stage</th>
      <th>Months of Supply</th>
      <th>What It Signals</th>
    </tr>
  </thead>
  <tbody>
    <tr>
      <td>Houses Not Yet Started</td>
      <td><strong>21.3</strong></td>
      <td>Permits pulled but ground not broken — financing, lot costs, builder caution</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td>Under Construction</td>
      <td>14.8</td>
      <td>Active builds — elevated but tractable; supply chain stress</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td>Completed Spec Homes</td>
      <td>3.9</td>
      <td>Move-in ready inventory — tight, but the only &#8220;normal-ish&#8221; stage</td>
    </tr>
    <tr>
      <td>2008–09 Peak (reference)</td>
      <td>18.1</td>
      <td>Today&#8217;s pre-construction is 3.2 months above the worst recession reading</td>
    </tr>
  </tbody>
</table>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Source: U.S. Census Bureau, &#8220;Months of Supply on Lots by Status of Completion,&#8221; chart by r:venture APP, current to early 2026. Cross-referenced against the Census May 28, 2026 New Residential Sales release showing 489,000 new homes for sale = 9.4 months of total supply.</em></p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3d7.png" alt="🏗" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What This Means in Northwest Indiana</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The national chart is striking, but the local picture tells you whether the abstraction will hit your transaction. Here&#8217;s what Indiana and NWI permit data shows right now:</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="2560" height="1200" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_permits_chart.png?resize=2560%2C1200&#038;ssl=1" alt="Indiana top counties 12-month permits with NWI flagged, alongside 21.3-month national House Not Yet Started supply" class="wp-image-4690" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_permits_chart.png?w=2560&amp;ssl=1 2560w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_permits_chart.png?resize=300%2C141&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_permits_chart.png?resize=1024%2C480&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_permits_chart.png?resize=768%2C360&amp;ssl=1 768w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_permits_chart.png?resize=1536%2C720&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/nwi_permits_chart.png?resize=2048%2C960&amp;ssl=1 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></figure>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><em>Source: U.S. Census Bureau Building Permits Survey, trailing 12 months through Q1 2026, via PermitFocus. Indiana Q1 2026 total: 4,485 single-family permits (–5% vs. prior quarter). Lake County Q1 2026: 265 permits (down from 301).</em></p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Three observations matter for our market:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><strong>NWI is not the state leader.</strong> Hamilton County (the wealthy Indy suburb) runs at 2,532 permits per year — nearly 2.5× Lake County&#8217;s full-year volume. When buyers in NWI say &#8220;I can&#8217;t find new construction,&#8221; that&#8217;s not unique to us. It&#8217;s the same constraint showing up locally.</li>
<li><strong>Lake County is softening quarter-on-quarter.</strong> Q1 2026 came in at 265 permits vs. 301 in Q4 2025 — a 12% drop. That mirrors the national picture of gated starts at the front of the pipeline.</li>
<li><strong>Porter County is small but stable.</strong> At 453 trailing-12-month permits and 2.61 permits per 1,000 residents, Porter has the lowest permit intensity of any NWI county. There&#8217;s room to grow — and for builders, NWI may become a relative bright spot as the national pipeline throttles.</li>
</ul>


<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What Months of Supply Means in 2026</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Months of supply is the metric the National Association of Realtors uses to define a balanced housing market: at the current sales pace, how long would it take to absorb the existing inventory? Six months is balanced; below that is a seller&#8217;s market; above that is a buyer&#8217;s market. The 21.3-month figure we&#8217;re seeing today on homes not yet started is not a buyer-seller balance number — it&#8217;s a builder-construction-pipeline number — but the read is the same: there are far more lots platted than the current housing market can absorb in a reasonable time. For Northwest Indiana, where Lake County permits fell 12% Q1 2026 and Porter County trails the state at 453 trailing-12-month pulls, months of supply on existing inventory is closer to a 4-month national average. The gap between 21.3 months on pre-construction and 4 months on existing resale is the entire story of 2026.</p>


<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If you want to track how months of supply shifts month over month in our specific counties, the monthly Porter County, Lake County, and LaPorte County market reports track the local months-supply-of-inventory number directly — a more useful local indicator than the national pre-construction pipeline figure. The national number tells you why builders are stuck; the local months of supply number tells you what it costs you as a buyer or rewards you as a seller.</p>


<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4a1.png" alt="💡" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Why This Matters — The Substituion Effect</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">When new construction takes 18–24 months from permit to closing, buyers don&#8217;t wait — they pivot to existing inventory. That&#8217;s the substitution effect, and it&#8217;s the most important dynamic in our 2026 market. Three things follow from it:</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>1. Existing inventory gets pricing power.</strong> If a buyer can&#8217;t get a new build done in 12 months because permits and labor are choking the front of the pipeline, the resale market becomes the only realistic alternative. Resale pricing in NWI has been notably more resilient than the national new-construction segment in 2025–2026 for exactly this reason.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>2. Inspections matter more than ever.</strong> A buyer who can&#8217;t wait 18 months for a new build is choosing an existing home — which means an HVAC system that&#8217;s 12–18 years old, a roof approaching end-of-life, a water heater from 2014. The resale market in 2026 isn&#8217;t a market for first-time buyers who don&#8217;t want surprises. It&#8217;s a market where mechanical-condition literacy separates a good purchase from a $20,000 mistake. (My background as a 10-year HVAC contractor and commercial facilities mechanic is exactly the lens that helps here — I see what other agents walk past.)</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>3. Sellers of well-maintained homes have leverage.</strong> If your home has a 2020 furnace, a 2018 roof, and updated electrical, you&#8217;re competing against builders who can&#8217;t break ground for 21 months. That&#8217;s not a fair fight in your favor — and it&#8217;s the read that should change how sellers price and position.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f511.png" alt="🔑" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What This Means If You&#8217;re Buying or Selling in NWI</h2>


<div class="jp-tip-box">
  <h4>For Buyers</h4>
  <p>If you were counting on new construction and the timeline keeps slipping, you&#8217;re not alone — and you&#8217;re not out of options. The resale market in Lake and Porter counties has roughly <strong>1,700 homes listed</strong> at any given time (April 2026 NAR FastStats), and roughly <strong>65 days of inventory</strong>. That&#8217;s still a constrained market, but the right home exists if you have a clear mechanical-condition checklist and a pre-approved financing path. Don&#8217;t wait for new builds to free up — they won&#8217;t, this cycle.</p>
</div>

<div class="jp-tip-box seller">
  <h4>For Sellers</h4>
  <p>If your home has been updated — roof, HVAC, water heater, electrical — your pricing power just strengthened. The buyers still in the market in mid-2026 are the ones who couldn&#8217;t wait 18 months for new construction. They&#8217;re choosing resale <em>because</em> the alternative doesn&#8217;t pencil. Lean into that. Show the inspection report. Show the equipment ages. Show the receipts. The buyers you&#8217;re competing for are doing the math on mechanical replacement cost, and a turnkey home saves them $15,000–$40,000 in deferred maintenance.</p>
</div><div class="jp-disclaimer">
<strong>Data &amp; methodology:</strong> National chart from the <a href="https://www.census.gov/construction/nrs/current/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">U.S. Census Bureau New Residential Sales release</a> showing &#8220;Months of Supply on Lots by Status of Completion,&#8221; current to early 2026, via <a href="https://x.com/rventureapp">@rventureapp</a> on X (June 2026). Indiana and county-level permit data from U.S. Census Bureau Building Permits Survey, trailing 12 months through Q1 2026, via PermitFocus. NWI resale inventory figures from Quadwalls May 2026 update citing regional MLS. Analysis and NWI-specific interpretation by Josh Pavich. Not investment advice. All data points accurate as of publication date but subject to revision in subsequent Census releases.</div><div class="jp-cta-box">
<p><strong>Trying to make sense of NWI&#8217;s 2026 housing market?</strong></p>
<p>Get a free home valuation, see the latest local data, or browse current listings.</p>
<p><a class="btn" href="https://joshpavich.com/free-home-valuation-northwest-indiana/">Get Your Free Home Valuation →</a></p>
<p style="margin-top:18px;font-size:.9rem;">
<a href="https://joshpavich.com/porter-county-real-estate-market-may-2026/">Porter County Market — May 2026</a> &nbsp;•&nbsp;
<a href="https://joshpavich.com/lake-county-real-estate-market-april-2026/">Lake County Market — April 2026</a> &nbsp;•&nbsp;
<a href="https://joshpavich.com/home-search/">Browse NWI Homes</a>
</p>
</div>
<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"/>


<!-- wp:heading level -->
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ready to Make Your Move?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Let&#8217;s talk through what 21 months of supply actually means for your situation — whether you&#8217;re buying, selling, or just trying to read the noise.</p>


<div class="jp-author-box">
  <div class="jp-headshot">
    <img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="300" height="300" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?resize=300%2C300&#038;ssl=1" alt="Josh Pavich — Northwest Indiana real estate agent" class="wp-image-3578" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?w=300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/josh-pavich-headshot-author-box.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" />
  </div>
  <div class="jp-author-text">
    <h3>Josh Pavich</h3>
    <p class="jp-tagline">Realtor with a mechanical contracting lens</p>
    <p class="jp-body">If you&#8217;re weighing a move in Northwest Indiana — buying, selling, or just trying to figure out what the 21-month headline actually means for your block — I&#8217;m happy to walk through it with you. I bring 10 years of HVAC and mechanical contracting experience to every home I look at, and that lens changes what an inspection actually tells you.</p>
    <p class="jp-author-meta"><strong>Weichert Realtors — Shoreline</strong> &nbsp;•&nbsp; <strong>NIRA Member</strong></p>
    <div class="jp-buttons">
      <a class="jp-btn jp-btn-primary" href="tel:219-508-8579"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4de.png" alt="📞" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Call 219-508-8579</a>
      <a class="jp-btn jp-btn-secondary" href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2709.png" alt="✉" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Email Me</a>
      <a class="jp-btn jp-btn-secondary" href="https://joshpavich.com/free-home-valuation-northwest-indiana/">Get Free Home Valuation</a>
    </div>
  </div>
</div>

<!-- wp:heading level -->

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4da.png" alt="📚" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Related Reading on joshpavich.com</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If the 21.3-month supply number made you rethink your housing timeline, these other posts on joshpavich.com break down adjacent parts of the 2026 NWI market:</p>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/mortgage-dti-record-2025/">U.S. Mortgage DTI Record of 40% in 2025: What It Means for Buyers</a> &mdash; the debt-to-income data that quietly caps how much house 2026 buyers can afford, regardless of months of supply.</li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/home-prices-dropping-2026-why-not-scary/">Home Prices Are Dropping in 2026 &mdash; Why That&rsquo;s Not as Scary as It Sounds</a> &mdash; the price-side companion to the supply story; same gating pressure on builders, different read for existing-home sellers.</li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/first-time-homebuyer-guide-nwi-2026/">First-Time Homebuyer Guide for NWI 2026</a> &mdash; what the throttled new-construction pipeline actually means for first-time buyers in Lake and Porter counties, with the local math.</li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/investment-property-guide-portage-hobart/">Investment Property Guide: Portage &amp; Hobart</a> &mdash; how months of supply and rental demand interact in two of NWI&rsquo;s most active investor submarkets.</li>
<li><a href="https://joshpavich.com/valparaiso-vs-chesterton-indiana-2026/">Valparaiso vs Chesterton, Indiana 2026</a> &mdash; head-to-head on inventory, days on market, and price trajectory between the two Porter County anchors.</li>
</ul>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Frequently Asked Questions: Months of Supply in 2026</h2>
<!-- /wp:post-content --><!-- wp:rank-math/faq-block {"questions":[{"title":"What does 'months of supply' actually mean in this chart?","content":"Months of supply is the ratio of homes for sale at a given stage to the current sales pace. The 21.3-month figure for 'Houses Not Yet Started' means: at today's rate of homes breaking ground, it would take 21.3 months to absorb the lots that have permits but no construction underway. Higher numbers = more slack / weaker builder momentum. A balanced market is typically 6 months.","visible":true},{"title":"Is this worse than 2008?","content":"Yes, narrowly. The 2008–09 peak on the 'Houses Not Yet Started' line was 18.1 months. Today's reading is 21.3 — about 18% above that peak. The difference is the underlying cause: 2008 was demand collapse; 2026 is supply-side throttling (financing costs, lot costs, builder caution). The mechanism is different, but the headline number is worse.","visible":true},{"title":"Does this affect Northwest Indiana specifically?","content":"Yes, but indirectly. The national 21.3-month number is for the U.S. as a whole. Indiana ran at 4,485 single-family permits in Q1 2026 (down 5% quarter-on-quarter). Lake County specifically dropped from 301 permits in Q4 2025 to 265 in Q1 2026 — a 12% decline. Porter County is stable at 453 trailing-12-month permits. The pattern mirrors the national picture of gated starts at the front of the pipeline.","visible":true},{"title":"Should I wait to buy a new construction home?","content":"Probably not, if waiting means waiting on a builder. The data suggests the front of the new-construction pipeline will remain constrained through at least 2026 — permits pulled but ground not broken. Buyers who can't get new-build timelines to work are pivoting to existing inventory, which is keeping resale pricing firm. Waiting for new construction to 'free up' is waiting for a constraint that may take 18+ months to ease.","visible":true}]} -->
<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
  <div class="rank-math-list ">
    <div id="rm-faq-4691-0" class="rank-math-list-item">
      <h3 class="rank-math-question "><span class="ez-toc-section" id="rm-faq-4691-0-q"></span>What does &#8216;months of supply&#8217; actually mean in this chart?<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h3>
      <div class="rank-math-answer "><p>Months of supply is the ratio of homes for sale at a given stage to the current sales pace. The 21.3-month figure for &#8216;Houses Not Yet Started&#8217; means: at today&#8217;s rate of homes breaking ground, it would take 21.3 months to absorb the lots that have permits but no construction underway. Higher numbers = more slack / weaker builder momentum. A balanced market is typically 6 months.</p></div>
    </div>
    <div id="rm-faq-4691-1" class="rank-math-list-item">
      <h3 class="rank-math-question "><span class="ez-toc-section" id="rm-faq-4691-1-q"></span>Is this worse than 2008?<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h3>
      <div class="rank-math-answer "><p>Yes, narrowly. The 2008–09 peak on the &#8216;Houses Not Yet Started&#8217; line was 18.1 months. Today&#8217;s reading is 21.3 — about 18% above that peak. The difference is the underlying cause: 2008 was demand collapse; 2026 is supply-side throttling (financing costs, lot costs, builder caution). The mechanism is different, but the headline number is worse.</p></div>
    </div>
    <div id="rm-faq-4691-2" class="rank-math-list-item">
      <h3 class="rank-math-question "><span class="ez-toc-section" id="rm-faq-4691-2-q"></span>Does this affect Northwest Indiana specifically?<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h3>
      <div class="rank-math-answer "><p>Yes, but indirectly. The national 21.3-month number is for the U.S. as a whole. Indiana ran at 4,485 single-family permits in Q1 2026 (down 5% quarter-on-quarter). Lake County specifically dropped from 301 permits in Q4 2025 to 265 in Q1 2026 — a 12% decline. Porter County is stable at 453 trailing-12-month permits. The pattern mirrors the national picture of gated starts at the front of the pipeline.</p></div>
    </div>
    <div id="rm-faq-4691-3" class="rank-math-list-item">
      <h3 class="rank-math-question "><span class="ez-toc-section" id="rm-faq-4691-3-q"></span>Should I wait to buy a new construction home?<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h3>
      <div class="rank-math-answer "><p>Probably not, if waiting means waiting on a builder. The data suggests the front of the new-construction pipeline will remain constrained through at least 2026 — permits pulled but ground not broken. Buyers who can&#8217;t get new-build timelines to work are pivoting to existing inventory, which is keeping resale pricing firm. Waiting for new construction to &#8216;free up&#8217; is waiting for a constraint that may take 18+ months to ease.</p></div>
    </div>
  </div>
</div>
<!-- /wp:rank-math/faq-block --></div>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4691</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>U.S. Mortgage DTI Record of 40% in 2025: Data &#038; NW Indiana Impact</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/mortgage-dti-record-2025/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 20:59:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[First-time Homebuyers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Update]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4670</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The U.S. mortgage DTI record hit 40% in 2025 &#8212; surpassing the 2007 housing bubble peak. Here&#8217;s what that means for Northwest Indiana buyers and sellers. This new data, surfaced by Reventure App from Fannie Mae&#8217;s National Mortgage Database, shows back-end Debt-to-Income ratios at approximately 40% for new originations &#8212; [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div class="jp-market-wrap">

  <div class="jp-hero">
    <p>The U.S. <strong>mortgage DTI record</strong> hit 40% in 2025 &mdash; surpassing the 2007 housing bubble peak. Here&rsquo;s what that means for Northwest Indiana buyers and sellers.</p>
  </div>

  
  <figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="896" height="745" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-record-2025.jpg?resize=896%2C745&#038;ssl=1" alt="Fannie Mae NMDB chart showing the U.S. mortgage DTI record at approximately 40 percent in 2025, surpassing the 2007 housing bubble peak of 38.7 percent" class="wp-image-4676" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-record-2025.jpg?w=896&amp;ssl=1 896w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-record-2025.jpg?resize=300%2C249&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-record-2025.jpg?resize=768%2C639&amp;ssl=1 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 896px) 100vw, 896px" /><figcaption>Source: Fannie Mae National Mortgage Database via Nick Gerli / Reventure App</figcaption></figure>
  

  <p>This new data, surfaced by <a href="https://www.reventure.app/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reventure App</a> from <a href="https://www.fanniemae.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Fannie Mae&rsquo;s</a> National Mortgage Database, shows back-end Debt-to-Income ratios at approximately 40% for new originations &mdash; the highest level on record, eclipsing the 38.7% peak of the 2007 housing bubble. This single number tells the story of the entire 2025 housing market: buyers are stretched, sellers are negotiating from weakness, and the affordability math that worked in 2019 no longer applies.</p>

  <p>For Northwest Indiana specifically, the new debt-to-income peak matters because local buyers face the same headwinds as the rest of the country, but with regional quirks. Property taxes in Lake, Porter, and LaPorte counties vary dramatically by municipality. Insurance costs along the lakefront have risen faster than inland. And the 6%+ rate environment means sellers can no longer rely on rate buydowns as a magic bullet &mdash; buyers qualify at the new ceiling, but few are comfortable living there.</p>

  
  <h3 class="wp-block-heading">Three Time Points: How Today Compares</h3>
  

  
  <figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="2560" height="1440" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-comparison-1997-2007-2025.png?resize=2560%2C1440&#038;ssl=1" alt="Three-bar comparison chart showing the U.S. mortgage DTI record at 40 percent in 2025 versus the 2007 housing bubble peak of 38.7 percent and the 1997 baseline of 31 percent" class="wp-image-4683" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-comparison-1997-2007-2025.png?w=2560&amp;ssl=1 2560w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-comparison-1997-2007-2025.png?resize=300%2C169&amp;ssl=1 300w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-comparison-1997-2007-2025.png?resize=1024%2C576&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-comparison-1997-2007-2025.png?resize=768%2C432&amp;ssl=1 768w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-comparison-1997-2007-2025.png?resize=1536%2C864&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/mortgage-dti-comparison-1997-2007-2025.png?resize=2048%2C1152&amp;ssl=1 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></figure>
  

  <p>The chart tells the story clearly. After the housing crash, DTI ratios fell sharply and stayed relatively contained through the 2010s. But beginning around 2020, the line turned sharply upward &mdash; and it hasn&rsquo;t stopped climbing.</p>

  
  <h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why the Mortgage DTI Record Matters Now</h2>
  

  
  <h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why This Mortgage DTI Record Matters</h2>
  

  <p>A Debt-to-Income ratio measures how much of a borrower&rsquo;s monthly income goes toward housing debt. The back-end ratio includes all debt obligations &mdash; mortgage, taxes, insurance, car loans, student loans, credit cards. When lenders approve borrowers at 40%+ DTI, it means nearly half of that household&rsquo;s monthly income is spoken for before groceries, utilities, or savings. For broader context on housing affordability trends, see <a href="https://www.realtor.com/research/data/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Realtor.com&rsquo;s housing market research</a>.</p>

  <p>Today&rsquo;s debt-to-income peak didn&rsquo;t happen in a vacuum. Three structural forces pushed it there:</p>

  <ul>
    <li><strong>Home prices stayed elevated after the 2022 rate spike.</strong> When mortgage rates jumped from 3% to 7% in 18 months, would-be sellers locked in place rather than trade a sub-4% rate for a 7% one. That froze inventory and kept prices sticky, forcing buyers to finance larger and larger sums.</li>
    <li><strong>Wage growth didn&rsquo;t keep pace with the principal-and-interest jump.</strong> A $300k loan at 3% is $1,265/month. The same loan at 7% is $1,996/month &mdash; a 58% increase. Average hourly earnings grew roughly 4% annually over the same period, nowhere near enough to offset the rate-driven payment shock.</li>
    <li><strong>Student loan repayments resumed in fall 2023</strong>, adding $200-$500/month to many borrowers&rsquo; back-end debt loads right as home prices were peaking. For first-time buyers under 35, this was often the final straw that pushed their back-end debt loads into new highs.</li>
  </ul>

  <p>Today&rsquo;s debt-to-income peak is also a forward-looking signal. Lenders aren&rsquo;t loosening standards out of optimism &mdash; they&rsquo;re loosening because competition for the shrinking pool of qualified buyers has gotten fierce. Fannie Mae&rsquo;s own <a href="https://www.fanniemae.com/research-and-insights" target="_blank" rel="noopener">research arm</a> has flagged the trend, and the FHFA has signaled increased scrutiny. If the 40% back-end DTI becomes the new normal rather than a temporary peak, expect tighter lending standards to follow within 12-18 months.</p>

  <p>Key numbers at a glance:</p>

  <ul>
    <li><strong>2025 DTI (record high):</strong> ~40%</li>
    <li><strong>2007 housing bubble peak:</strong> 38.7%</li>
    <li><strong>1997 baseline:</strong> ~31%</li>
    <li><strong>Source:</strong> Fannie Mae National Mortgage Database (NMDB)</li>
  </ul>

  <p>The skyrocketing DTI over the last several years is leaving more Americans house poor. And it&rsquo;s starting to show &mdash; foreclosure activity is beginning to tick up nationally.</p>

  <p>Why now? Because the existing homeowner population is gradually turning over to today&rsquo;s 6%+ mortgage rate environment. Borrowers who locked in 3% rates in 2020-2021 are still fine. But new buyers entering the market at higher rates AND higher home prices are carrying a heavier debt load than any cohort in modern history.</p>

  
  <h2 class="wp-block-heading">What the 2025 Mortgage DTI Record Means for NW Indiana Buyers &amp; Sellers</h2>
  

  <div class="jp-tip-box">
    <h4>Key Buyer Tip</h4>
    <p>Lenders may pre-approve you for more debt than you can comfortably carry. A comfortable payment leaves room for property taxes (which vary by NW Indiana municipality), homeowners insurance, maintenance, and life. Get pre-approved at a level that works for <em>your</em> budget &mdash; not the lender&rsquo;s ceiling. In today&rsquo;s market, sellers are more willing to negotiate on price and incentives, so shop smart and don&rsquo;t overextend.</p>
  </div>

  <div class="jp-tip-box seller">
    <h4>Seller Tip</h4>
    <p>Today&rsquo;s qualified buyers are carrying more debt than ever, leaving them with less financial flexibility. Overpriced listings are more likely to sit as buyers stretch to afford the payment. Realistic pricing, seller concessions (rate buydowns, closing cost assistance), and homes in move-in condition will stand out. Work with a local agent who knows the NW Indiana market to price aggressively from day one.</p>
  </div>

  <p>As Nick Gerli of Reventure App put it: <em>&ldquo;Watch this DTI metric going forward. As more of the existing homeowner population turns over to 6% rates, we could eventually see more mortgage distress in the market.&rdquo;</em></p>

  <p>The bottom line? The 2025 housing market is different from 2007 in many ways &mdash; tighter lending standards post-crash, more equity in existing homes, less speculative building. But the new highs in debt-to-income ratios are a warning flag that household balance sheets are stretched thin. For NW Indiana buyers and sellers, that means being realistic about what you can afford and how you price your home.</p>

  
  <h3 class="wp-block-heading">How Local Lenders in NW Indiana Are Responding</h3>
  

  <p>Local mortgage brokers across Northwest Indiana are seeing the back-end DTI stress show up in three concrete ways:</p>

  <ul>
    <li><strong>Higher debt-to-income overlays.</strong> Many lenders in Porter and Lake counties are now applying a 0.25% to 0.50% rate premium (or rate buy-up) for buyers whose back-end ratios exceed 43%. The mortgage insurance companies have followed with their own overlays on conventional loans above 45% back-end.</li>
    <li><strong>Longer pre-approval validities.</strong> Because rate volatility has become the norm, most lenders now lock pre-approvals for 60-90 days instead of the standard 30. This protects the buyer from re-qualifying mid-search if rates drift.</li>
    <li><strong>Rising use of buydowns.</strong> Seller-paid 2-1 and 3-2-1 temporary buydowns are now standard on listings in the $300k-$500k range across Hobart, Valparaiso, and Portage. Sellers absorb the cost because the alternative is watching qualified buyers walk away when their payment shock calc exceeds $400/month.</li>
  </ul>

  <p>For first-time buyers in particular, the back-end debt stress is now the binding constraint, not the down payment. FHA loans with the new 40-year term option, conventional 97% LTV programs, and local down-payment assistance through the Indiana Housing &#038; Community Development Authority are all worth exploring. A local lender who actually understands NW Indiana property tax variability can save a buyer several hundred dollars a year over a national call-center lender.</p>

  <div class="jp-disclaimer">
    <strong>Disclaimer &amp; Sources:</strong> Data sourced from Fannie Mae&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.fanniemae.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">National Mortgage Database</a> (NMDB) as reported by Nick Gerli on <a href="https://www.reventure.app/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reventure App</a> &mdash; the housing data and analytics platform covering all 50 states, 500 metros, and 30,000 ZIP codes. These ratios reflect back-end debt obligations for new originations. For additional housing market data, see <a href="https://www.realtor.com/research/data/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Realtor.com&rsquo;s research portal</a>. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or mortgage advice. Consult a licensed mortgage professional for your specific situation. Josh Pavich is a licensed REALTOR&reg; with Weichert Realtors &mdash; Shoreline in Northwest Indiana.
  </div>

  <div class="jp-cta-box">
    <p><strong>Thinking about buying or selling in NW Indiana?</strong></p>
    <p>Let&rsquo;s run the numbers together and find a strategy that works for you.</p>
    <p><a href="/free-home-valuation-northwest-indiana/" class="btn">Get Your Free Market Analysis</a></p>
    <p style="margin-top:12px;font-size:0.9rem;">Josh Pavich &middot; Weichert Realtors&reg; Shoreline &middot; <a href="tel:2195088579">219-508-8579</a> &middot; <a href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com">team@joshpavich.com</a></p>
  </div>

</div>


<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide"/>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ready to Make Your Move?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Whether you&rsquo;re a first-time buyer trying to navigate today&rsquo;s affordability headwinds or a seller looking for the right pricing strategy in this market, Josh Pavich can help you make sense of the numbers.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Call or text <a href="tel:2195088579">219-508-8579</a> or email <a href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com">team@joshpavich.com</a> to schedule a no-obligation consultation.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Frequently Asked Questions About the 2025 DTI Ratio and the Housing Market</h2>


<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-7ca5a33ad186c869ee01872bb0659bd6" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What is the current Debt-to-Income Ratio for U.S. mortgage borrowers?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>According to Fannie Mae, the Debt-to-Income Ratio for new mortgage originations hit 40% in 2025 — the highest level on record, surpassing the 2007 housing bubble peak of 38.7%.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-6f4d4893004383960edb9313769e058d" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Is the 2025 DTI rate higher than 2007 housing bubble levels?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Yes. The 2025 DTI of approximately 40% eclipses the 2007 peak of 38.7%, meaning today&#8217;s homebuyers are more financially stretched than during the last housing bubble.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-b862ceb77921e56f79339e8ed79defd7" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What does a high DTI ratio mean for homebuyers in NW Indiana?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>A high DTI means more of your monthly income goes to housing debt, leaving less room for maintenance, taxes, insurance, and unexpected costs. Buyers should get pre-approved for what they can comfortably afford — not the maximum a lender allows.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-2a9b1a586d408838185f42678ca20944" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Are foreclosures increasing because of high DTI ratios?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Foreclosures are starting to tick up nationally as more homeowners with high DTIs face payment shock. As the existing homeowner population turns over to the current 6%+ mortgage rate environment, mortgage distress may increase further.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-053315f5dba3e7db37a91041f20b0d44" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How can a NW Indiana real estate agent help me navigate the current market?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>A local agent can help you run realistic affordability numbers, find properties that fit your budget, negotiate seller incentives, and connect you with trusted lenders who understand your situation. Contact Josh Pavich at 219-508-8579 for a consultation.</p>

</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4670</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Lennar Home Prices Drop 25% Off Peak, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels in 2026</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/lennar-home-prices-below-pre-pandemic-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://joshpavich.com/lennar-home-prices-below-pre-pandemic-2026/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2026 21:00:34 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[First-time Homebuyers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Update]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4646</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Your data-driven breakdown of Lennar&#8217;s Q2 2026 SEC filing — what home prices, margins, and incentives tell us about the national market and what it means for NW Indiana buyers and sellers &#124; Analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR® Lennar, the largest U.S. homebuilder, just reported its average selling price dropped [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div class="jp-market-wrap">

  <div class="jp-hero">
    <p>Your data-driven breakdown of Lennar&#8217;s Q2 2026 SEC filing — what home prices, margins, and incentives tell us about the national market and what it means for NW Indiana buyers and sellers | Analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR®</p>
  </div>

  <p><strong>Lennar, the largest U.S. homebuilder, just reported its average selling price dropped to $371,000 in Q2 2026</strong> — the first quarter below the pre-pandemic $389,000 baseline since 2021. That&#8217;s a <strong>25% drop off the $491,000 peak</strong> reached in mid-2023, and it confirms what local buyers and sellers across NW Indiana have been feeling in real time: the housing market is correcting, not crashing.</p>

  <p>This post walks through the data straight from Lennar&#8217;s June 12, 2026 Form 8-K filing with the SEC. No spin, no forecasts — just what the numbers say and what they mean for anyone buying or selling a home in Porter County, Lake County, or the broader NW Indiana region right now.</p>

  <h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4ca.png" alt="📊" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Q2 2026 Key Metrics</h2>

  <figure class="wp-block-image">
    <img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/lennar_asp_chart-scaled.png?ssl=1" alt="Lennar Average Selling Price trajectory from Q2 2023 peak through Q2 2026" />
  </figure>

  <div class="jp-stats-grid">
    <div class="jp-stat-card">
      <span class="val">$371,000</span>
      <span class="label">Q2 2026 ASP</span>
      <span class="change down">−4.6% YoY</span>
    </div>
    <div class="jp-stat-card">
      <span class="val">−25%</span>
      <span class="label">Off 2023 Peak</span>
      <span class="change down">From $491k</span>
    </div>
    <div class="jp-stat-card">
      <span class="val">15.6%</span>
      <span class="label">Gross Margin</span>
      <span class="change down">−2.2 pts YoY</span>
    </div>
    <div class="jp-stat-card">
      <span class="val">12.9%</span>
      <span class="label">Sales Incentives</span>
      <span class="change up">+3.1 pts QoQ</span>
    </div>
  </div>

  <h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4c8.png" alt="📈" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Lennar Price Trajectory: 4 Quarters of Decline</h2>

  <p>Here&#8217;s the exact price sequence from the SEC filing. The numbers tell the story without needing interpretation:</p>

  <table class="jp-table">
    <thead>
      <tr>
        <th>Period</th>
        <th>Average Selling Price (ASP)</th>
        <th>Change vs. Peak</th>
      </tr>
    </thead>
    <tbody>
      <tr>
        <td>Mid-2023 (Peak)</td>
        <td>$491,000</td>
        <td>—</td>
      </tr>
      <tr>
        <td>Q2 2025</td>
        <td>$389,000</td>
        <td>−20.8%</td>
      </tr>
      <tr>
        <td>Q1 2026</td>
        <td>$374,000</td>
        <td>−23.8%</td>
      </tr>
      <tr>
        <td><strong>Q2 2026</strong></td>
        <td><strong>$371,000</strong></td>
        <td><strong>−24.4%</strong></td>
      </tr>
    </tbody>
  </table>

  <p><em>Pre-pandemic baseline = Q2 2019 ASP of $389,000. Q2 2026 is the first quarter below this level since 2021, sitting $18,000 (4.6%) under baseline and $120,000 (24.4%) off the peak.</em></p>

  <h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3d7.png" alt="🏗" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Structural Pressure: Margins &#038; Incentives</h2>

  <p>The price drop isn&#8217;t happening in a vacuum. Lennar is also seeing margins compress and incentive spending balloon — two signals that builders are working harder to move the same product.</p>

  <figure class="wp-block-image">
    <img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/lennar_incentive_chart.png?ssl=1" alt="Lennar sales incentives as percent of ASP from Q4 2024 through Q2 2026" />
  </figure>

  <p><strong>Sales incentives hit 12.9% of ASP in Q2 2026</strong>, up from 9.8% in Q4 2025. The &#8220;normal&#8221; historical range is 4-6%. That means roughly $48 out of every $371,000 sale price is now coming back to the buyer as rate buy-downs, closing cost credits, or upgrades — not equity for the builder.</p>

  <figure class="wp-block-image">
    <img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/lennar_margin_chart.png?ssl=1" alt="Lennar gross margin compression from Q4 2024 through Q2 2026" />
  </figure>

  <p><strong>Gross margins fell to 15.6% from 17.8% a year ago</strong> (−2.2 percentage points). The company is still profitable — this isn&#8217;t a distressed sale situation — but the cushion is thinning. Lennar&#8217;s own Q3 2026 guidance projects ASP between $375,000 and $380,000, suggesting prices may fall a bit further before stabilizing.</p>

  <h3>Lennar Operational Snapshot</h3>

  <table class="jp-table">
    <thead>
      <tr>
        <th>Metric</th>
        <th>Q2 2026</th>
        <th>Q2 2025</th>
        <th>YoY Change</th>
      </tr>
    </thead>
    <tbody>
      <tr>
        <td>Revenue</td>
        <td>$7.6B</td>
        <td>$7.75B</td>
        <td>−2.0%</td>
      </tr>
      <tr>
        <td>Homes Delivered</td>
        <td>20,519</td>
        <td>20,131</td>
        <td>+1.9%</td>
      </tr>
      <tr>
        <td>Average Selling Price</td>
        <td>$371,000</td>
        <td>$389,000</td>
        <td>−4.6%</td>
      </tr>
      <tr>
        <td>Gross Margin</td>
        <td>15.6%</td>
        <td>17.8%</td>
        <td>−2.2 pts</td>
      </tr>
      <tr>
        <td>Sales Incentives (% ASP)</td>
        <td>12.9%</td>
        <td>~9.5%</td>
        <td>+3.4 pts</td>
      </tr>
      <tr>
        <td>Q3 2026 ASP Guidance</td>
        <td>$375k–$380k</td>
        <td>—</td>
        <td>Floor signal</td>
      </tr>
    </tbody>
  </table>

  <h3>Lennar vs. NW Indiana Median Price</h3>

  <p>Lennar is a national builder; the $371k ASP is below the NW Indiana median for the same period. For local context, see our <a href="https://joshpavich.com/porter-county-real-estate-market-may-2026/">Porter County Real Estate Market May 2026</a> and <a href="https://joshpavich.com/lake-county-real-estate-market-april-2026/">Lake County Real Estate Market May 2026</a> reports.</p>

  <h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f30e.png" alt="🌎" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Why Lennar Matters to NW Indiana</h2>

  <p>Lennar delivers 80,000+ homes per year across 30 states, including active subdivisions in NW Indiana. Two structural facts make their pricing a leading indicator:</p>

  <ul>
    <li><strong>New-home pricing leads existing-home pricing by 6-12 months.</strong> When builders cut prices, existing-home sellers eventually follow — or their homes sit.</li>
    <li><strong>Lennar sets the comp.</strong> Local appraisers use new-construction sales as the ceiling for resale valuations in many subdivisions. Lower builder comps pull down assessed values.</li>
  </ul>

  <p>In Lennar&#8217;s own words from the SEC filing: the price correction reflects &#8220;continued weakness in the market&#8221; and &#8220;the mismatch between higher home prices with higher interest rates and household income.&#8221; Translation: homes became too expensive for what buyers can afford at current rates.</p>

  <h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f3e0.png" alt="🏠" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> What This Means for NW Indiana Buyers &#038; Sellers</h2>

  <div class="jp-tip-box">
    <h4><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f511.png" alt="🔑" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Buyer Takeaways</h4>
    <p><strong>More negotiating power than at any point since 2020.</strong> Expect rate buy-downs, closing cost credits, and upgrade packages from local builders competing with Lennar. On the resale side, sellers are increasingly willing to negotiate — especially on homes that have been listed 30+ days. Don&#8217;t try to time the bottom; if the numbers work for your budget and timeline, current conditions favor buyers.</p>
  </div>

  <div class="jp-tip-box seller">
    <h4><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4b0.png" alt="💰" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Seller Takeaways</h4>
    <p><strong>Overpricing is dangerous in 2026.</strong> Buyers now have new-construction options with significant incentives, which compresses what they&#8217;ll pay for resale. Condition and pricing from day one matter more than ever. A home listed at 2022 peak prices will sit. A home priced to today&#8217;s comps — and in good condition — will move.</p>
  </div>

  <h2><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4cb.png" alt="📋" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> Official Source: Lennar Q2 2026 SEC Filing</h2>

  <p><strong>Source:</strong> Lennar Corporation Form 8-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on June 12, 2026. Financial metrics reflect Q2 2026 (quarter ended May 31, 2026). Q3 2026 ASP guidance is company-disclosed forward-looking statement.</p>

  <div class="jp-disclaimer">
    <strong>Disclaimer:</strong> This analysis is based on Lennar&#8217;s Q2 2026 SEC filing (Form 8-K, filed June 12, 2026). NW Indiana market conditions vary by city, price range, and property type. National builder data does not guarantee local outcomes. Information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or real estate advice. Consult a licensed REALTOR® and review your own financial situation before making purchase or sale decisions. Josh Pavich is a licensed REALTOR® in Indiana (License #RB19000959, Northwest Indiana REALTORS® Association).
  </div>

  <div class="jp-cta-box">
    <p><strong>Thinking about buying or selling in NW Indiana?</strong></p>
    <p>Get a free, no-obligation sales report for your specific address — current comps, market position, and pricing strategy.</p>
    <p><a class="btn" href="https://joshpavich.com/free-home-valuation-northwest-indiana/">Get Your Free Sales Report</a></p>
    <p style="margin-top:14px;font-size:0.9rem;">Or browse our <a href="https://joshpavich.com/porter-county-real-estate-market-may-2026/">Porter County</a> and <a href="https://joshpavich.com/lake-county-real-estate-market-april-2026/">Lake County</a> market reports.</p>
  </div>

</div>


<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide"/>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ready to Make Your Move?</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Whether you&#8217;re buying your first home, upgrading, or considering a sale in Porter County, Lake County, or anywhere in NW Indiana, having a REALTOR® who tracks both national housing trends and hyperlocal market data makes a measurable difference. Reach out anytime — no pressure, no pitch, just straight talk about your situation.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Josh Pavich, REALTOR®</strong><br>Northwest Indiana REALTORS® Association<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4cd.png" alt="📍" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> 5348 Central Ave, Portage, IN 46368<br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/1f4de.png" alt="📞" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <a href="tel:12195088579">(219) 508-8579</a><br><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2709.png" alt="✉" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> <a href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com">team@joshpavich.com</a></p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Frequently Asked Questions About Lennar &amp; the 2026 Housing Market</h2>


<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-cf73c66b51294e8acb4be7983660011e" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Did Lennar home prices really drop 25% from the peak?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Yes. Lennar&#8217;s average selling price (ASP) fell from $491,000 in mid-2023 to $371,000 in Q2 2026, a drop of about 24-25% off the peak. This data comes directly from Lennar&#8217;s Form 8-K SEC filing dated June 12, 2026.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-147362b584930d7fec88e212401ce77a" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Are home prices now below pre-pandemic levels?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>For Lennar specifically, yes — Q2 2026 ASP of $371,000 is below the Q2 2019 pre-pandemic baseline of $389,000 by about 4.6% ($18,000). For the broader U.S. housing market and NW Indiana, prices vary by metro and segment; existing-home medians in many areas remain modestly above pre-pandemic levels but are trending down.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-4bba3439a9578cf3975ca984df9c9d1d" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What are Lennar sales incentives and why do they matter?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Sales incentives are discounts Lennar offers to buyers — typically mortgage rate buy-downs, closing cost credits, or free upgrades. In Q2 2026, these reached 12.9% of ASP, up from 9.8% the prior quarter and well above the historical 4-6% norm. High incentives signal builder pressure to move inventory and are a key indicator of market direction.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-0dba593f229f41706632cac502334310" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Is this a housing crash or just a correction?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Based on the SEC data, it&#8217;s a correction, not a crash. Lennar is still profitable (15.6% gross margin), still building at scale (20,519 homes delivered, +1.9% YoY), and still delivering more homes year-over-year — just at lower prices. This is normalization, not collapse.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-a62309372347bef6828904eae9ffa544" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How does Lennar pricing affect NW Indiana home values?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Lennar builds in NW Indiana and sets comparable sales (comps) that local appraisers use to value resale homes. When builder prices fall, resale comps typically follow within 6-12 months. Lower builder pricing also gives buyers alternatives, increasing negotiation leverage on existing-home purchases.</p>

</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4646</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Porter County Real Estate Market Update — May 2026</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/porter-county-real-estate-market-may-2026/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2026 19:42:27 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Josh Pavich Real Estate Professional]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Update]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4099</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Porter County Real Estate Market May 2026 Your complete guide to the Porter County real estate market &#124; Data-driven analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR® The Porter County real estate market in May 2026 is showing balanced activity. New listings moved +10.2%, inventory sits at 371 homes, and the median sale [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Porter_County_Real_Estate_Market_May_2026"></span>Porter County Real Estate Market May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h1>
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<p>Your complete guide to the Porter County real estate market | Data-driven analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR®</p>
</div>

<p>The Porter County real estate market in May 2026 is showing balanced activity. New listings moved +10.2%, inventory sits at 371 homes, and the median sale price is $335,500 (+4.9% YoY). With 2.2 months of supply, Porter County remains a seller&#8217;s market. Here&#8217;s the full picture.</p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="May_2026_Key_Metrics"></span>📊 May 2026 Key Metrics<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<figure class="wp-block-image"><img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Porter-County-May-2026-Stats-3.png?ssl=1" alt="Porter County real estate market May 2026 key metrics" style="width:100%;height:auto;max-width:720px;" /></figure>

<div class="jp-stats-grid">
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">$335,500</div>
<div class="label">Median Sale Price</div>
<div class="change up">+4.9% YoY</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">198</div>
<div class="label">Homes Sold</div>
<div class="change up">up from 178</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">39</div>
<div class="label">Median Days on Market</div>
<div class="change down">↓ from 48 days</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">2.2 mo</div>
<div class="label">Months Supply</div>
<div class="change neutral">0.0% YoY</div>
</div>
</div>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="porter-county_Market_Analysis"></span>📈 Porter County Market Analysis<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p>Porter County is part of the Northwest Indiana real estate landscape. At a $335,500 median sale price, the market gives buyers and sellers a clear data-driven picture. The 9 metrics below tell the full story.</p>

<p>The headline this month is inventory: total homes for sale climbed +5.7% to 371 (from 351 a year ago). New listings moved +10.2% (now 302). Porter County remains a seller&#8217;s market at 2.2 months of supply (3.0 is the standard balanced-market benchmark).</p>

<p>Demand is strong: closed sales rose +11.2% to 198, and pending sales rose +10.4% to 212. Days on market decreased from 48 to 39 — homes are moving faster than a year ago.</p>

<p>Prices moved up: the median climbed +4.9% to $335,500, while the average moved +2.3% to $378,931. Sellers received 96.5% of list price, up from 95.3%.</p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Price_Comparison_porter-county_vs_NW_Indiana_Towns"></span>📊 Price Comparison: Porter County vs. NW Indiana Towns<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div class="jp-bar-chart">
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Chesterton</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 100%">$387,500</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Valparaiso</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 80%">$310,000</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Portage</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill green" style="width: 70%">$270,000</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Hobart</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill green" style="width: 58%">$224,250</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">LaPorte</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 46%">$177,500</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Lake Station</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 43%">$168,000</div></div>
</div>
</div>

<p><em>Median sale prices for May 2026.</em></p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="What_This_Means_for_Buyers_Sellers"></span>🏠 What This Means for Buyers &amp; Sellers<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div class="jp-tip-box">
<h4>🔑 Buyer Tip</h4>
<p>Porter County at a $335,500 median is priced competitively for NW Indiana. Inventory is expanding, giving buyers more options. <a href="https://joshpavich.com/home-search">Search Porter County listings →</a></p>
</div>

<div class="jp-tip-box seller">
<h4>💰 Seller Tip</h4>
<p>With 2.2 months of supply, Porter County is still a seller&#8217;s market. Inventory is climbing and you have more competition from other sellers. <a href="https://joshpavich.com/get-your-free-customized-sales-report/">Get your free home valuation →</a></p>
</div>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Official_MLS_Data_porter-county_May_2026"></span>📋 Official MLS Data: Porter County — May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p>The following data comes directly from the <a href="https://nira-public.stats.showingtime.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIRA MLS FastStats</a> report for Porter County, comparing May 2025 vs. May 2026.</p>

<table class="jp-table">
<thead>
<tr><th>Key Metric</th><th>May 2025</th><th>May 2026</th><th>% Change</th></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>New Listings</td><td>274</td><td><strong>302</strong></td><td class="change up">+10.2%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Pending Sales</td><td>192</td><td><strong>212</strong></td><td class="change up">+10.4%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Closed Sales</td><td>178</td><td><strong>198</strong></td><td class="change up">+11.2%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Days on Market</td><td>48</td><td><strong>39</strong></td><td class="change down">-18.8%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Median Sales Price</td><td>$319,900</td><td><strong>$335,500</strong></td><td class="change up">+4.9%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Average Sales Price</td><td>$370,254</td><td><strong>$378,931</strong></td><td class="change up">+2.3%</td></tr>
<tr><td>% of Original List Price</td><td>95.3%</td><td><strong>96.5%</strong></td><td class="change up">+1.3%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Inventory of Homes</td><td>351</td><td><strong>371</strong></td><td class="change up">+5.7%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Months Supply</td><td>2.2</td><td><strong>2.2</strong></td><td class="change neutral">0.0%</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<p><strong>Key takeaways:</strong> The Porter County real estate market in May 2026 shows a +4.9% median price move to <strong>$335,500</strong> with +5.7% inventory change to <strong>371 homes</strong> and 2.2 months of supply. At a $335,500 median, Porter County remains a strong seller&#8217;s market in NW Indiana.</p>

<div class="jp-disclaimer">
<strong>Data Disclaimer:</strong> Market statistics cited in this report are sourced from the <a href="https://nira-public.stats.showingtime.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIRA MLS FastStats</a> (official MLS data from the Northwest Indiana REALTORS® Association) for May 2026 and include all residential property types (single-family, condos, townhomes, etc.) unless otherwise noted. County-level figures are based on MLS data for single-family residential properties. Individual property values may vary significantly. Year-over-year changes compare May 2026 to May 2025. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
</div>

<div class="jp-cta-box">
<p>Ready to navigate the Porter County real estate market? I’d love to help you make smart moves with data-driven strategy.</p>
<p><a href="https://joshpavich.com/get-your-free-customized-sales-report/">📊 Get Your Free Sales Report</a></p>
</div>
</div>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide"/>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Ready_to_Make_Your_Move"></span>Ready to Make Your Move?<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Thinking about buying or selling in Porter County?</strong> I help homeowners and investors navigate the NW Indiana market with 10+ years of local experience — including a professional background in home inspection and HVAC systems. I see things other agents miss.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">📞 <strong>Call or text:</strong> <a href="tel:2195088579">(219) 508-8579</a><br>📧 <strong>Email:</strong> <a href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com">team@joshpavich.com</a><br>🌐 <strong>Website:</strong> <a href="https://joshpavich.com">joshpavich.com</a></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Josh Pavich | Weichert, Realtors® – Shoreline</strong><br>Serving all of Northwest Indiana — Porter, Lake, and LaPorte Counties</p>

<h2 id="frequently-asked-questions-about-the-porter-county-indiana-real-estate-market" class="wp-block-heading"><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Frequently_Asked_Questions_Porter_County_May_2026"></span>Frequently Asked Questions About the Porter County Indiana Real Estate Market May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-62aaea519452a1006f3b92c55f153cd9" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What is the median home price in Porter County for May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>The median sale price in the Porter County real estate market for May 2026 was $335,500, +4.9% year-over-year.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-92512427d586183c9087766d550f1b29" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Is Porter County a buyer&#x27;s or seller&#x27;s market in May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Porter County is a seller&#x27;s market with 2.2 months of supply (3 months is the standard balance benchmark).</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-3bea65028ae6ff566b356c4f6623cd95" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How is housing inventory in Porter County for May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Porter County inventory is at 371 active homes in May 2026, with 198 closed sales. Months supply is 2.2.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-019cc77fed5d7e26f36c039cd36983d9" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How long are homes taking to sell in Porter County?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Days on Market in Porter County for May 2026 was 39 days, down from 48 days a year earlier.</p>

</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4099</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>LaPorte County Real Estate Market Update — May 2026</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/laporte-county-real-estate-market-may-2026/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2026 19:40:15 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Josh Pavich Real Estate Professional]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Update]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4100</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[LaPorte County Real Estate Market May 2026 Your complete guide to the LaPorte County real estate market &#124; Data-driven analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR® The LaPorte County real estate market is expanding in May 2026. New listings climbed +13.8% and total inventory rose +12.0% to 234 homes, giving buyers more [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1><span class="ez-toc-section" id="LaPorte_County_Real_Estate_Market_May_2026"></span>LaPorte County Real Estate Market May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h1>
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<div class="jp-market-wrap">
<div class="jp-hero">
<p>Your complete guide to the LaPorte County real estate market | Data-driven analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR®</p>
</div>

<p>The LaPorte County real estate market is expanding in May 2026. New listings climbed +13.8% and total inventory rose +12.0% to 234 homes, giving buyers more choices than they&#8217;ve had in months. Prices moved +18.9% to a $267,500 median, and the market remains a seller&#8217;s market at 2.7 months of supply. Here&#8217;s the full picture.</p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="May_2026_Key_Metrics"></span>📊 May 2026 Key Metrics<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<figure class="wp-block-image"><img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/LaPorte-County-May-2026-Stats-1.png?ssl=1" alt="LaPorte County real estate market May 2026 key metrics" style="width:100%;height:auto;max-width:720px;" /></figure>

<div class="jp-stats-grid">
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">$267,500</div>
<div class="label">Median Sale Price</div>
<div class="change up">+18.9% YoY</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">104</div>
<div class="label">Homes Sold</div>
<div class="change up">up from 87</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">39</div>
<div class="label">Median Days on Market</div>
<div class="change up">↑ from 37 days</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">2.7 mo</div>
<div class="label">Months Supply</div>
<div class="change up">+12.5% YoY</div>
</div>
</div>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="laporte-county_Market_Analysis"></span>📈 LaPorte County Market Analysis<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p>LaPorte County is part of the Northwest Indiana real estate landscape. At a $267,500 median sale price, the market gives buyers and sellers a clear data-driven picture. The 9 metrics below tell the full story.</p>

<p>The headline this month is inventory: total homes for sale climbed +12.0% to 234 (from 209 a year ago). New listings moved +13.8% (now 148). LaPorte County remains a seller&#8217;s market at 2.7 months of supply (3.0 is the standard balanced-market benchmark).</p>

<p>Demand is strong: closed sales rose +19.5% to 104, and pending sales rose +1.0% to 100. Days on market increased from 37 to 39 — homes are taking longer than a year ago.</p>

<p>Prices moved up: the median climbed +18.9% to $267,500, while the average moved +39.7% to $350,352. Sellers received 95.4% of list price, down from 95.7%.</p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Price_Comparison_laporte-county_vs_NW_Indiana_Towns"></span>📊 Price Comparison: LaPorte County vs. NW Indiana Towns<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div class="jp-bar-chart">
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Chesterton</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 100%">$387,500</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Valparaiso</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 80%">$310,000</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Portage</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill green" style="width: 70%">$270,000</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Hobart</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill green" style="width: 58%">$224,250</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">LaPorte</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 46%">$177,500</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Lake Station</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 43%">$168,000</div></div>
</div>
</div>

<p><em>Median sale prices for May 2026.</em></p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="What_This_Means_for_Buyers_Sellers"></span>🏠 What This Means for Buyers &amp; Sellers<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div class="jp-tip-box">
<h4>🔑 Buyer Tip</h4>
<p>LaPorte County at a $267,500 median is one of the more affordable markets in the area. Inventory is expanding, giving buyers more options. <a href="https://joshpavich.com/home-search">Search LaPorte County listings →</a></p>
</div>

<div class="jp-tip-box seller">
<h4>💰 Seller Tip</h4>
<p>With 2.7 months of supply, LaPorte County is still a seller&#8217;s market. Inventory is climbing and you have more competition from other sellers. <a href="https://joshpavich.com/get-your-free-customized-sales-report/">Get your free home valuation →</a></p>
</div>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Official_MLS_Data_laporte-county_May_2026"></span>📋 Official MLS Data: LaPorte County — May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p>The following data comes directly from the <a href="https://nira-public.stats.showingtime.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIRA MLS FastStats</a> report for LaPorte County, comparing May 2025 vs. May 2026.</p>

<table class="jp-table">
<thead>
<tr><th>Key Metric</th><th>May 2025</th><th>May 2026</th><th>% Change</th></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>New Listings</td><td>130</td><td><strong>148</strong></td><td class="change up">+13.8%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Pending Sales</td><td>99</td><td><strong>100</strong></td><td class="change up">+1.0%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Closed Sales</td><td>87</td><td><strong>104</strong></td><td class="change up">+19.5%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Days on Market</td><td>37</td><td><strong>39</strong></td><td class="change up">+5.4%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Median Sales Price</td><td>$225,000</td><td><strong>$267,500</strong></td><td class="change up">+18.9%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Average Sales Price</td><td>$250,780</td><td><strong>$350,352</strong></td><td class="change up">+39.7%</td></tr>
<tr><td>% of Original List Price</td><td>95.7%</td><td><strong>95.4%</strong></td><td class="change down">-0.3%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Inventory of Homes</td><td>209</td><td><strong>234</strong></td><td class="change up">+12.0%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Months Supply</td><td>2.4</td><td><strong>2.7</strong></td><td class="change up">+12.5%</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<p><strong>Key takeaways:</strong> The LaPorte County real estate market in May 2026 shows a +18.9% median price move to <strong>$267,500</strong> with +12.0% inventory change to <strong>234 homes</strong> and 2.7 months of supply. At a $267,500 median, LaPorte County remains a strong seller&#8217;s market in NW Indiana.</p>

<div class="jp-disclaimer">
<strong>Data Disclaimer:</strong> Market statistics cited in this report are sourced from the <a href="https://nira-public.stats.showingtime.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIRA MLS FastStats</a> (official MLS data from the Northwest Indiana REALTORS® Association) for May 2026 and include all residential property types (single-family, condos, townhomes, etc.) unless otherwise noted. County-level figures are based on MLS data for single-family residential properties. Individual property values may vary significantly. Year-over-year changes compare May 2026 to May 2025. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
</div>

<div class="jp-cta-box">
<p>Ready to navigate the LaPorte County real estate market? I’d love to help you make smart moves with data-driven strategy.</p>
<p><a href="https://joshpavich.com/get-your-free-customized-sales-report/">📊 Get Your Free Sales Report</a></p>
</div>
</div>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide"/>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Ready_to_Make_Your_Move"></span>Ready to Make Your Move?<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Thinking about buying or selling in LaPorte County?</strong> I help homeowners and investors navigate the NW Indiana market with 10+ years of local experience — including a professional background in home inspection and HVAC systems. I see things other agents miss.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">📞 <strong>Call or text:</strong> <a href="tel:2195088579">(219) 508-8579</a><br>📧 <strong>Email:</strong> <a href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com">team@joshpavich.com</a><br>🌐 <strong>Website:</strong> <a href="https://joshpavich.com">joshpavich.com</a></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Josh Pavich | Weichert, Realtors® – Shoreline</strong><br>Serving all of Northwest Indiana — Porter, Lake, and LaPorte Counties</p>

<h2 id="frequently-asked-questions-about-the-laporte-county-indiana-real-estate-market" class="wp-block-heading"><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Frequently_Asked_Questions_LaPorte_County_May_2026"></span>Frequently Asked Questions About the LaPorte County Indiana Real Estate Market May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-255f6d35d859d16286ffcd0f918521cb" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What is the median home price in LaPorte County for May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>The median sale price in the LaPorte County real estate market for May 2026 was $267,500, +18.9% year-over-year.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-8878748464c75bc918e23c2f863e8684" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Is LaPorte County a buyer&#x27;s or seller&#x27;s market in May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>LaPorte County is a seller&#x27;s market with 2.7 months of supply (3 months is the standard balance benchmark).</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-71418d1e865fc50c3db8d7bbe39b2c43" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How is housing inventory in LaPorte County for May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>LaPorte County inventory is at 234 active homes in May 2026, with 104 closed sales. Months supply is 2.7.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-0458c8c839898a250707c5954d2cc9c1" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How long are homes taking to sell in LaPorte County?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Days on Market in LaPorte County for May 2026 was 39 days, up from 37 days a year earlier.</p>

</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4100</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Valparaiso Real Estate Market Update — May 2026</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/valparaiso-real-estate-market-may-2026/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2026 19:34:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Josh Pavich Real Estate Professional]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Update]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4101</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Valparaiso Real Estate Market May 2026 Your complete guide to the Valparaiso real estate market &#124; Data-driven analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR® The Valparaiso real estate market in May 2026 is showing balanced activity. New listings moved -9.5%, inventory sits at 79 homes, and the median sale price is $363,250 [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Valparaiso_Real_Estate_Market_May_2026"></span>Valparaiso Real Estate Market May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h1>
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<p>Your complete guide to the Valparaiso real estate market | Data-driven analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR®</p>
</div>

<p>The Valparaiso real estate market in May 2026 is showing balanced activity. New listings moved -9.5%, inventory sits at 79 homes, and the median sale price is $363,250 (+9.7% YoY). With 2.5 months of supply, Valparaiso remains a seller&#8217;s market. Here&#8217;s the full picture.</p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="May_2026_Key_Metrics"></span>📊 May 2026 Key Metrics<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<figure class="wp-block-image"><img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Valparaiso-May-2026-Stats-2.png?ssl=1" alt="Valparaiso real estate market May 2026 key metrics" style="width:100%;height:auto;max-width:720px;" /></figure>

<div class="jp-stats-grid">
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">$363,250</div>
<div class="label">Median Sale Price</div>
<div class="change up">+9.7% YoY</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">36</div>
<div class="label">Homes Sold</div>
<div class="change down">down from 39</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">37</div>
<div class="label">Median Days on Market</div>
<div class="change up">↑ from 36 days</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">2.5 mo</div>
<div class="label">Months Supply</div>
<div class="change up">+13.6% YoY</div>
</div>
</div>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="valparaiso_Market_Analysis"></span>📈 Valparaiso Market Analysis<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p>Valparaiso is part of the Northwest Indiana real estate landscape. At a $363,250 median sale price, the market gives buyers and sellers a clear data-driven picture. The 9 metrics below tell the full story.</p>

<p>The headline this month is inventory: total homes for sale climbed +11.3% to 79 (from 71 a year ago). New listings moved -9.5% (now 57). Valparaiso remains a seller&#8217;s market at 2.5 months of supply (3.0 is the standard balanced-market benchmark).</p>

<p>Demand is soft: closed sales fell -7.7% to 36, and pending sales fell -12.5% to 42. Days on market increased from 36 to 37 — homes are taking longer than a year ago.</p>

<p>Prices moved up: the median climbed +9.7% to $363,250, while the average moved +15.3% to $399,656. Sellers received 98.3% of list price, up from 96.1%.</p>

<h3><span class="ez-toc-section" id="valparaiso_vs_porter-county"></span>Valparaiso vs. Porter County<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h3>

<table class="jp-table">
<thead>
<tr><th>Metric</th><th>Valparaiso</th><th>Porter County</th></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>Median Sale Price</td><td><strong>$363,250</strong></td><td>(see county report)</td></tr>
<tr><td>YoY Price Change</td><td><strong>+9.7%</strong></td><td>—</td></tr>
<tr><td>Homes Sold (May)</td><td><strong>36</strong></td><td>—</td></tr>
<tr><td>Median Days on Market</td><td><strong>37 days</strong></td><td>—</td></tr>
<tr><td>Months Supply</td><td><strong>2.5</strong></td><td>—</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<p>For the full Porter County breakdown, see our <a href="https://joshpavich.com/porter-county-real-estate-market-may-2026/">Porter County Real Estate Market Update – May 2026</a>.</p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Price_Comparison_valparaiso_vs_NW_Indiana_Towns"></span>📊 Price Comparison: Valparaiso vs. NW Indiana Towns<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div class="jp-bar-chart">
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Chesterton</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 100%">$387,500</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Valparaiso</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 80%">$310,000</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Portage</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill green" style="width: 70%">$270,000</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Hobart</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill green" style="width: 58%">$224,250</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">LaPorte</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 46%">$177,500</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Lake Station</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 43%">$168,000</div></div>
</div>
</div>

<p><em>Median sale prices for May 2026.</em></p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="What_This_Means_for_Buyers_Sellers"></span>🏠 What This Means for Buyers &amp; Sellers<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div class="jp-tip-box">
<h4>🔑 Buyer Tip</h4>
<p>Valparaiso at a $363,250 median is priced competitively for NW Indiana. Inventory is expanding, giving buyers more options. <a href="https://joshpavich.com/home-search">Search Valparaiso listings →</a></p>
</div>

<div class="jp-tip-box seller">
<h4>💰 Seller Tip</h4>
<p>With 2.5 months of supply, Valparaiso is still a seller&#8217;s market. Inventory is climbing and you have more competition from other sellers. <a href="https://joshpavich.com/get-your-free-customized-sales-report/">Get your free home valuation →</a></p>
</div>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Official_MLS_Data_valparaiso_May_2026"></span>📋 Official MLS Data: Valparaiso — May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p>The following data comes directly from the <a href="https://nira-public.stats.showingtime.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIRA MLS FastStats</a> report for Valparaiso, comparing May 2025 vs. May 2026.</p>

<table class="jp-table">
<thead>
<tr><th>Key Metric</th><th>May 2025</th><th>May 2026</th><th>% Change</th></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>New Listings</td><td>63</td><td><strong>57</strong></td><td class="change down">-9.5%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Pending Sales</td><td>48</td><td><strong>42</strong></td><td class="change down">-12.5%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Closed Sales</td><td>39</td><td><strong>36</strong></td><td class="change down">-7.7%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Days on Market</td><td>36</td><td><strong>37</strong></td><td class="change up">+2.8%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Median Sales Price</td><td>$331,000</td><td><strong>$363,250</strong></td><td class="change up">+9.7%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Average Sales Price</td><td>$346,493</td><td><strong>$399,656</strong></td><td class="change up">+15.3%</td></tr>
<tr><td>% of Original List Price</td><td>96.1%</td><td><strong>98.3%</strong></td><td class="change up">+2.3%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Inventory of Homes</td><td>71</td><td><strong>79</strong></td><td class="change up">+11.3%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Months Supply</td><td>2.2</td><td><strong>2.5</strong></td><td class="change up">+13.6%</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<p><strong>Key takeaways:</strong> The Valparaiso real estate market in May 2026 shows a +9.7% median price move to <strong>$363,250</strong> with +11.3% inventory change to <strong>79 homes</strong> and 2.5 months of supply. At a $363,250 median, Valparaiso remains a strong seller&#8217;s market in NW Indiana.</p>

<div class="jp-disclaimer">
<strong>Data Disclaimer:</strong> Market statistics cited in this report are sourced from the <a href="https://nira-public.stats.showingtime.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIRA MLS FastStats</a> (official MLS data from the Northwest Indiana REALTORS® Association) for May 2026 and include all residential property types (single-family, condos, townhomes, etc.) unless otherwise noted. County-level figures are based on MLS data for single-family residential properties. Individual property values may vary significantly. Year-over-year changes compare May 2026 to May 2025. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
</div>

<div class="jp-cta-box">
<p>Ready to navigate the Valparaiso real estate market? I’d love to help you make smart moves with data-driven strategy.</p>
<p><a href="https://joshpavich.com/get-your-free-customized-sales-report/">📊 Get Your Free Sales Report</a></p>
</div>
</div>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide"/>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Ready_to_Make_Your_Move"></span>Ready to Make Your Move?<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Thinking about buying or selling in Valparaiso?</strong> I help homeowners and investors navigate the NW Indiana market with 10+ years of local experience — including a professional background in home inspection and HVAC systems. I see things other agents miss.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">📞 <strong>Call or text:</strong> <a href="tel:2195088579">(219) 508-8579</a><br>📧 <strong>Email:</strong> <a href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com">team@joshpavich.com</a><br>🌐 <strong>Website:</strong> <a href="https://joshpavich.com">joshpavich.com</a></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Josh Pavich | Weichert, Realtors® – Shoreline</strong><br>Serving all of Northwest Indiana — Porter, Lake, and LaPorte Counties</p>

<h2 id="frequently-asked-questions-about-the-valparaiso-indiana-real-estate-market" class="wp-block-heading"><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Frequently_Asked_Questions_Valparaiso_May_2026"></span>Frequently Asked Questions About the Valparaiso Indiana Real Estate Market May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-52c924eb815f07237b5229e6e3d4ff54" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What is the median home price in Valparaiso for May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>The median sale price in the Valparaiso real estate market for May 2026 was $363,250, +9.7% year-over-year.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-af4bc0630ca03498ae754009ce627da9" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Is Valparaiso a buyer&#x27;s or seller&#x27;s market in May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Valparaiso is a seller&#x27;s market with 2.5 months of supply (3 months is the standard balance benchmark).</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-a2ac92c3f28f3be1bbe5b183fcf4c8ca" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How is housing inventory in Valparaiso for May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Valparaiso inventory is at 79 active homes in May 2026, with 36 closed sales. Months supply is 2.5.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-a03abc4586c7b8da58353df218a939e7" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How long are homes taking to sell in Valparaiso?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Days on Market in Valparaiso for May 2026 was 37 days, up from 36 days a year earlier.</p>

</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">4101</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Portage Real Estate Market Update — May 2026</title>
		<link>https://joshpavich.com/portage-real-estate-market-may-2026/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Josh Pavich]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jun 2026 19:32:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Josh Pavich Real Estate Professional]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Update]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://joshpavich.com/?p=4102</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Portage Real Estate Market May 2026 Your complete guide to the Portage real estate market &#124; Data-driven analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR® The Portage real estate market is expanding in May 2026. New listings climbed +63.6% and total inventory rose +34.1% to 55 homes, giving buyers more choices than they&#8217;ve [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h1><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Portage_Real_Estate_Market_May_2026"></span>Portage Real Estate Market May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h1>
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<p>Your complete guide to the Portage real estate market | Data-driven analysis by Josh Pavich, REALTOR®</p>
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<p>The Portage real estate market is expanding in May 2026. New listings climbed +63.6% and total inventory rose +34.1% to 55 homes, giving buyers more choices than they&#8217;ve had in months. Prices moved +8.1% to a $293,000 median, and the market remains a seller&#8217;s market at 1.7 months of supply. Here&#8217;s the full picture.</p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="May_2026_Key_Metrics"></span>📊 May 2026 Key Metrics<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<figure class="wp-block-image"><img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/joshpavich.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Portage-May-2026-Stats-2.png?ssl=1" alt="Portage real estate market May 2026 key metrics" style="width:100%;height:auto;max-width:720px;" /></figure>

<div class="jp-stats-grid">
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">$293,000</div>
<div class="label">Median Sale Price</div>
<div class="change up">+8.1% YoY</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">44</div>
<div class="label">Homes Sold</div>
<div class="change down">down from 49</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">35</div>
<div class="label">Median Days on Market</div>
<div class="change down">↓ from 64 days</div>
</div>
<div class="jp-stat-card">
<div class="val">1.7 mo</div>
<div class="label">Months Supply</div>
<div class="change up">+21.4% YoY</div>
</div>
</div>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="portage_Market_Analysis"></span>📈 Portage Market Analysis<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p>Portage is part of the Northwest Indiana real estate landscape. At a $293,000 median sale price, the market gives buyers and sellers a clear data-driven picture. The 9 metrics below tell the full story.</p>

<p>The headline this month is inventory: total homes for sale climbed +34.1% to 55 (from 41 a year ago). New listings moved +63.6% (now 54). Portage remains a seller&#8217;s market at 1.7 months of supply (3.0 is the standard balanced-market benchmark).</p>

<p>Demand is soft: closed sales fell -10.2% to 44, and pending sales rose +42.9% to 40. Days on market decreased from 64 to 35 — homes are moving faster than a year ago.</p>

<p>Prices moved up: the median climbed +8.1% to $293,000, while the average moved +2.1% to $302,520. Sellers received 98.9% of list price, up from 95.5%.</p>

<h3><span class="ez-toc-section" id="portage_vs_porter-county"></span>Portage vs. Porter County<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h3>

<table class="jp-table">
<thead>
<tr><th>Metric</th><th>Portage</th><th>Porter County</th></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>Median Sale Price</td><td><strong>$293,000</strong></td><td>(see county report)</td></tr>
<tr><td>YoY Price Change</td><td><strong>+8.1%</strong></td><td>—</td></tr>
<tr><td>Homes Sold (May)</td><td><strong>44</strong></td><td>—</td></tr>
<tr><td>Median Days on Market</td><td><strong>35 days</strong></td><td>—</td></tr>
<tr><td>Months Supply</td><td><strong>1.7</strong></td><td>—</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<p>For the full Porter County breakdown, see our <a href="https://joshpavich.com/porter-county-real-estate-market-may-2026/">Porter County Real Estate Market Update – May 2026</a>.</p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Price_Comparison_portage_vs_NW_Indiana_Towns"></span>📊 Price Comparison: Portage vs. NW Indiana Towns<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div class="jp-bar-chart">
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Chesterton</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 100%">$387,500</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Valparaiso</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill blue" style="width: 80%">$310,000</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Portage</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill green" style="width: 70%">$270,000</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Hobart</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill green" style="width: 58%">$224,250</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">LaPorte</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 46%">$177,500</div></div>
</div>
<div class="jp-bar-row">
<div class="jp-bar-label">Lake Station</div>
<div class="jp-bar-track"><div class="jp-bar-fill orange" style="width: 43%">$168,000</div></div>
</div>
</div>

<p><em>Median sale prices for May 2026.</em></p>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="What_This_Means_for_Buyers_Sellers"></span>🏠 What This Means for Buyers &amp; Sellers<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div class="jp-tip-box">
<h4>🔑 Buyer Tip</h4>
<p>Portage at a $293,000 median is one of the more affordable markets in the area. Inventory is expanding, giving buyers more options. <a href="https://joshpavich.com/home-search">Search Portage listings →</a></p>
</div>

<div class="jp-tip-box seller">
<h4>💰 Seller Tip</h4>
<p>With 1.7 months of supply, Portage is still a seller&#8217;s market. Inventory is climbing and you have more competition from other sellers. <a href="https://joshpavich.com/get-your-free-customized-sales-report/">Get your free home valuation →</a></p>
</div>

<h2><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Official_MLS_Data_portage_May_2026"></span>📋 Official MLS Data: Portage — May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p>The following data comes directly from the <a href="https://nira-public.stats.showingtime.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIRA MLS FastStats</a> report for Portage, comparing May 2025 vs. May 2026.</p>

<table class="jp-table">
<thead>
<tr><th>Key Metric</th><th>May 2025</th><th>May 2026</th><th>% Change</th></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>New Listings</td><td>33</td><td><strong>54</strong></td><td class="change up">+63.6%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Pending Sales</td><td>28</td><td><strong>40</strong></td><td class="change up">+42.9%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Closed Sales</td><td>49</td><td><strong>44</strong></td><td class="change down">-10.2%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Days on Market</td><td>64</td><td><strong>35</strong></td><td class="change down">-45.3%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Median Sales Price</td><td>$271,000</td><td><strong>$293,000</strong></td><td class="change up">+8.1%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Average Sales Price</td><td>$296,294</td><td><strong>$302,520</strong></td><td class="change up">+2.1%</td></tr>
<tr><td>% of Original List Price</td><td>95.5%</td><td><strong>98.9%</strong></td><td class="change up">+3.6%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Inventory of Homes</td><td>41</td><td><strong>55</strong></td><td class="change up">+34.1%</td></tr>
<tr><td>Months Supply</td><td>1.4</td><td><strong>1.7</strong></td><td class="change up">+21.4%</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<p><strong>Key takeaways:</strong> The Portage real estate market in May 2026 shows a +8.1% median price move to <strong>$293,000</strong> with +34.1% inventory change to <strong>55 homes</strong> and 1.7 months of supply. At a $293,000 median, Portage remains a strong seller&#8217;s market in NW Indiana.</p>

<div class="jp-disclaimer">
<strong>Data Disclaimer:</strong> Market statistics cited in this report are sourced from the <a href="https://nira-public.stats.showingtime.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NIRA MLS FastStats</a> (official MLS data from the Northwest Indiana REALTORS® Association) for May 2026 and include all residential property types (single-family, condos, townhomes, etc.) unless otherwise noted. County-level figures are based on MLS data for single-family residential properties. Individual property values may vary significantly. Year-over-year changes compare May 2026 to May 2025. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
</div>

<div class="jp-cta-box">
<p>Ready to navigate the Portage real estate market? I’d love to help you make smart moves with data-driven strategy.</p>
<p><a href="https://joshpavich.com/get-your-free-customized-sales-report/">📊 Get Your Free Sales Report</a></p>
</div>
</div>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-wide"/>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Ready_to_Make_Your_Move"></span>Ready to Make Your Move?<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Thinking about buying or selling in Portage?</strong> I help homeowners and investors navigate the NW Indiana market with 10+ years of local experience — including a professional background in home inspection and HVAC systems. I see things other agents miss.</p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph">📞 <strong>Call or text:</strong> <a href="tel:2195088579">(219) 508-8579</a><br>📧 <strong>Email:</strong> <a href="mailto:team@joshpavich.com">team@joshpavich.com</a><br>🌐 <strong>Website:</strong> <a href="https://joshpavich.com">joshpavich.com</a></p>

<p class="wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Josh Pavich | Weichert, Realtors® – Shoreline</strong><br>Serving all of Northwest Indiana — Porter, Lake, and LaPorte Counties</p>

<h2 id="frequently-asked-questions-about-the-portage-indiana-real-estate-market" class="wp-block-heading"><span class="ez-toc-section" id="Frequently_Asked_Questions_Portage_May_2026"></span>Frequently Asked Questions About the Portage Indiana Real Estate Market May 2026<span class="ez-toc-section-end"></span></h2>

<div id="rank-math-faq" class="rank-math-block">
<div class="rank-math-list ">
<div id="rm-faq-578180ce9723a3610dc1252af8d2344a" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">What is the median home price in Portage for May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>The median sale price in the Portage real estate market for May 2026 was $293,000, +8.1% year-over-year.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-379955e8ca39c152154b3b0d2e29223e" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">Is Portage a buyer&#x27;s or seller&#x27;s market in May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Portage is a seller&#x27;s market with 1.7 months of supply (3 months is the standard balance benchmark).</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-64a1a32ea5bdc930ce947feb46f5e388" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How is housing inventory in Portage for May 2026?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Portage inventory is at 55 active homes in May 2026, with 44 closed sales. Months supply is 1.7.</p>

</div>
</div>
<div id="rm-faq-ccbcfba5d41ee6dde128313cc72de523" class="rank-math-list-item">
<h3 class="rank-math-question ">How long are homes taking to sell in Portage?</h3>
<div class="rank-math-answer ">

<p>Days on Market in Portage for May 2026 was 35 days, down from 64 days a year earlier.</p>

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